Browse prediction markets

Will Ukraine hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 77.5%

When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?

K 24.1K contracts

Will Ukraine hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 52.5%

Will Ukraine hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 26.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?Yes 96.1%

CA-39 House Election Winner

PM $59.0K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?Yes 2.3%

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? (At least 1)Yes 25.5%

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

K 24.1K contracts

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? (At least 3)Yes 12%

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? (At least 5)Yes 8.4%

+7 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?Yes 97%

OH-03 House Election Winner

PM $58.9K

Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat?Yes 2.2%

Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 86.5%

Will the Trump family be pardoned?

K 24.0K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC

Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

PM $58.8K

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%

Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for AZ-05?Yes 90.1%

AZ-05 House winner?

K 24.0K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-05?Yes 11%

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?Yes 98.6%

NJ-10 House Election Winner

PM $58.6K

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?Yes 1.5%

PM $58.5K · K 263.7K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

VA-02 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for VA-2?

Related contracts

PM Yes 89.5%Rules differK Yes 88.5%

Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for VA-2?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 91.1%

New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory

K 24.0K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 82%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 73.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Massachusetts?Yes 97.9%

Massachusetts Attorney General winner?

K 23.9K contracts

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Massachusetts?Yes 1.6%

Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?Yes 95.5%

TX-12 House Election Winner

PM $58.2K

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?Yes 4.5%

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?Yes 11.1%

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?

K 23.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.9%

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

PM $58.0K

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026? (3)Yes 29.5%

How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Oct 2026?

K 23.8K contracts

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026? (4)Yes 24%

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026? (5)Yes 15%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes 29%

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

PM $57.9K

Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil?Yes 0.7%

Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?Yes 0.6%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?Yes 47%

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

K 23.8K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2030 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?Yes 94.5%

FL-03 House Election Winner

PM $57.8K

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?Yes 4%

PM $57.7K · K 189.5K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

WA-03 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for WA-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 89.5%Rules differK Yes 90.8%

Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for WA-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 8.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 13.5%

Wisconsin Governor margin of victory

K 23.7K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 6.3%

Will any member of Congress be expelled before 2027?Yes 16.5%

Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?

K 23.7K contracts

Trump goes to space in 2026?Yes 1.7%

Trump goes to space in 2026?

PM $57.7K

Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?Yes 3.5%

Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?

K 23.6K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?Yes 95%

NC-08 House Election Winner

PM $57.6K

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?Yes 3.6%

Will Peter Thiel announce they're leaving California?Yes 57.5%

KalshiWorld

Who will announce a California departure in 2026?

K 23.6K contracts

Will Mark Zuckerberg announce they're leaving California?Yes 34%

Will Larry Page announce they're leaving California?Yes 29.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.3%

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?

PM $57.6K

When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before 2028)Yes 88.5%

KalshiHealth

When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?

K 23.5K contracts

When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before October 2027)Yes 87%

When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before July 2027)Yes 84%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes 80%

NC-11 House Election Winner

PM $57.6K

Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes 20%

Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be below 8 before the 2026 midterms?Yes 95.5%

How many states will redistrict before the midterms?

K 23.4K contracts

Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be exactly 9 before the 2026 midterms?Yes 3.5%

Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be exactly 8 before the 2026 midterms?Yes 1.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat?Yes 96.2%

CA-08 House Election Winner

PM $57.3K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat?Yes 3.5%

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?Yes 12.5%

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

K 23.3K contracts

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?Yes 11%

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?Yes 10%

+11 moreNext deadline May 6, 2029 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?Yes 89%

GA-12 House Election Winner

PM $57.2K

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?Yes 9%

Will the White House announce an end to its press ban before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 52%

When will the White House announce an end to its press ban?

K 23.3K contracts

Will the White House announce an end to its press ban before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%

Will the White House announce an end to its press ban before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026?Yes 26.1%

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

PM $57.1K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiCulture

Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

K 23.1K contracts

Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?Yes 67%

Will Taylor Swift be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?Yes 59%

Will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?Yes 36%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 7.4%

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

PM $56.9K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

TX-08 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for TX-08?Yes 95.2%

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-08?Yes 3.8%

Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?Yes 95.5%

SC-07 House Election Winner

PM $56.4K

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-07 House seat?Yes 4.5%

PM $56.4K · K 191.7K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the 25th Amendment be used before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

WI-08 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for WI-08?Yes 89%

Will Democratic win the House race for WI-08?Yes 11%

Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 91.2%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 83.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 74.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes 75%

MN-01 House Election Winner

PM $56.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes 25.5%

Minnesota State House winner?

Who will win the Minnesota State House? (Democratic party)Yes 88.5%

Who will win the Minnesota State House? (Republican party)Yes 7.5%