Browse prediction markets

LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)

Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 92%

Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 84.5%

Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 65%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Larger margin of victory: Kansas or Nebraska Senate?

Will Nebraska US Senate have the largest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Kansas US Senate and Nebraska US Senate?Yes 61.5%

Will Kansas US Senate have the largest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Kansas US Senate and Nebraska US Senate?Yes 37%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?Yes 97.6%

AL-03 House Election Winner

PM $44.6K

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?Yes 0.5%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 4%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 2%

Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?Yes 38.4%

PolymarketClimate

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

PM $44.5K

Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Yes 27.5%

Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Yes 21%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC

TX-03 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for TX-03?Yes 95.2%

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-03?Yes 3.8%

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?Yes 98.3%

CO-02 House Election Winner

PM $44.3K

Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?Yes 1.9%

KalshiClimate

US solar capacity installed in 2026

Will at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 91.8%

Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 69.4%

+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Yes 96.2%

SC-06 House Election Winner

PM $44.3K

Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?Yes 3.1%

Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 29%

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?

K 17.2K contracts

Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 22%

Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes 67.5%

Sonora Governor Election Winner

PM $44.2K

Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes 15.3%

Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes 6.7%

+16 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-03 House winner?

PM $44.2K · K 22.9K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.9%Rules differK Yes 95.2%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.7%Rules differK Yes 3.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

Will Republican win the House race for MS-01?Yes 95.6%

MS-01 House winner?

K 17.2K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for MS-01?Yes 3.9%

PM $44.0K · K 22.5K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-37 House winner?

Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-37 House election? (Sydney Kamlager-Dove)

Related contracts

PM Yes 94.2%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Will Samantha Mota win the CA-37 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-37 House election? (Samantha Mota)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

Will a pre-midterm DNC convention happen before Nov 3, 2026Yes 2.5%

Will Democrats hold a midterm convention?

K 17.2K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026

K 17.1K contracts

Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 37%

Will Tom MacDonald - "What America Is" rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 24%

Will Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat?Yes 97.5%

OK-01 House Election Winner

PM $43.9K

Will the Democratic Party win the OK-01 House seat?Yes 1.6%

Will Republican win the House race for NY-02?Yes 86.5%

NY-02 House winner?

K 17.1K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-02?Yes 14.5%

Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?Yes 92.5%

GA-07 House Election Winner

PM $43.9K

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?Yes 7.5%

PM $43.9K · K 13.7K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

OH-13 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for OH-13?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.5%Rules differK Yes 94.1%

Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for OH-13?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 2.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?

Will CDU win the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election?Yes 66%

Will AfD win the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election?Yes 17.5%

Will FDP win the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election?Yes 2.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 25, 2028 UTC

Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 40%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 24.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 15%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?Yes 97.4%

CO-01 House Election Winner

PM $43.8K

Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?Yes 1.8%

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Drama

Will The Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 97%

Will The Diplomat be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91.5%

Will Slow Horses be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes 97.4%

Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

PM $43.7K

Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes 1.6%

Will Daniel Peters be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes 1.4%

+4 more

Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 97.6%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?Yes 96.7%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?Yes 96.6%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes 3.9%

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

PM $43.6K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 78%

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 65%

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 52%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat?Yes 94.5%

IN-04 House Election Winner

PM $43.6K

Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat?Yes 4.5%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 16%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?

K 16.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?

PM $43.6K

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?Yes 99.3%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 19?Yes 0.7%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?Yes 0.4%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93%

Oregon's 5th District margin of victory

K 16.9K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 81.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?Yes 96.3%

IL-06 House Election Winner

PM $43.5K

Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat?Yes 2.5%

Will Troy Jackson receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election?Yes 97.5%

Maine Senate election: Troy Jackson vote percent (1st Round)

K 16.9K contracts

Will Troy Jackson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election?Yes 97%

Will Troy Jackson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election?Yes 97%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Yes 57%

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

PM $43.4K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?Yes 20%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?Yes 13.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)Yes 53%

Turkish presidential election winner?

K 16.8K contracts

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)Yes 12.3%

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)Yes 8%

+7 moreNext deadline May 7, 2030 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the IN-03 House seat?Yes 95%

IN-03 House Election Winner

PM $43.3K

Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?Yes 4.5%

Will Sadiq Khan win the 2028 London mayoral election?Yes 20.5%

2028 London mayoral election winner?

K 16.8K contracts

Will Dawn Butler win the 2028 London mayoral election?Yes 17.5%

Will Laila Cunningham win the 2028 London mayoral election?Yes 14.5%

+6 moreNext deadline May 1, 2029 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?Yes 99.4%

CA-14 House Election Winner

PM $43.2K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-14 House seat?Yes 0.3%

Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?Yes 27%

KalshiEconomics

Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?

K 16.8K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2031 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?Yes 96.1%

CA-42 House Election Winner

PM $43.0K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?Yes 3.1%

Will Christopher Luxon become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 55%

New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?

K 16.7K contracts

Will Chris Hipkins become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 43.5%

Will Chlöe Swarbrick become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 1.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?Yes 93.5%

CA-48 House Election Winner

PM $43.0K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?Yes 6.5%

PM $42.9K · K 10.2K contracts

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Bank of Korea rate decision in October

Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.4%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.5%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC