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Showing 1,777-1,824 of 2,427 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Mexico unemployment rate in September
K 3.4K contractsMexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.6%)Yes 95.5%
Mexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.7%)Yes 90.5%
Mexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.8%)Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Paulette category?
K 3.4K contractsWill Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 8.5%
Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 6.5%
Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 18, 2026?
K 3.4K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the minimum temperature be <35° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026
K 3.4K contractsWill Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 50.5%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?Yes 37.5%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?Yes 32.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 3.4K contractsWill the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 85.5%
Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4?
K 3.4K contractsWill Twilio be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 98%
Will Cheniere Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will Astera Labs be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 24%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?
K 3.4K contractsWhen will Cluely officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 3.5%
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Yes 3%
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?
K 3.4K contractsWill the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Argentina inflation rate MoM for October
K 3.4K contractsWill the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 99.5%
Will the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.2%?Yes 98%
Will the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.4%?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Chipotle Credit Card Spend in October
K 3.4K contractsWill Chipotle Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 80 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Chipotle Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 88 ?Yes 97%
Will Chipotle Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 84 ?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Texas gas prices in Oct 2026
K 3.4K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $3.6500?Yes 52.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?Yes 51%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8500?Yes 50%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in January 2027
K 3.3K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.50 in January 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in January 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.00 in January 2027?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year?
K 3.3K contractsWill there be more than 6 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 50%
Will there be more than 7 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Duolingo daily active users in Q3
K 3.3K contractsWill Duolingo Inc. report Above 59 million daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 93%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 59.5 million daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 87%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 60 million daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 76%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?
K 3.3K contractsWho will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? (John Waldron)Yes 73%
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)Yes 3%
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2035 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Ulta Credit Card Spend in October
K 3.3K contractsWill Ulta Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 86.5%
Will Ulta Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 98 ?Yes 65.5%
Will Ulta Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 100 ?Yes 35.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Costco Credit Card Spend in October
K 3.3K contractsWill Costco Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 94%
Will Costco Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 96 ?Yes 83%
Will Costco Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 97 ?Yes 75.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031
K 3.3K contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 0.0%?Yes 88.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 3.5%?Yes 67.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 2.5%?Yes 51.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2032 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receiving Yards (Protected)
K 3.3K contractsGermie Bernard: 15+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 85%
Emeka Egbuka: 25+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 80%
Emeka Egbuka: 15+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 80%
+80 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
K 3.3K contractsWill Fireworks Initiative pass?Yes 53.5%
Will War Materiel Act amendment pass?Yes 43.5%
Will AHV VAT financing pass?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2033
K 3.3K contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 56.00%?Yes 96%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 56.50%?Yes 95%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 57.00%?Yes 94%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 13, 2034 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Perplexity officially announce an IPO?
K 3.2K contractsWhen will Perplexity officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 57.5%
When will Perplexity officially announce an IPO? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 38.5%
When will Perplexity officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 18.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
K 3.2K contractsWill Cillian Murphy perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 24.5%
Will Idris Elba perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 19.5%
Will Barry Keoghan perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3
K 3.2K contractsWill Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above -1% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 0% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 2026?Yes 81%
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 1% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 2026?Yes 55%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards (Protected)
K 3.2K contractsKeenan Allen: 80+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 80%
Keenan Allen: 70+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 80%
Keenan Allen: 60+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 80%
+84 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026
K 3.2K contractsWill Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 1% us stores same store sales growth in 2026?Yes 79%
Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 1.5% us stores same store sales growth in 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 2% us stores same store sales growth in 2026?Yes 39%
+6 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in July 2027
K 3.1K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.50 in July 2027?Yes 94%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.75 in July 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in July 2027?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 19, 2026?
K 3.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 58%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3
K 3.1K contractsWill Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?Yes 96%
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?Yes 51%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next Fed rate cut?
K 3.1K contractsWill the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2028?Yes 88%
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by June 30, 2028?Yes 67.5%
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2027?Yes 47.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 19, 2026?
K 3.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 55.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P 2027 year end price range
K 3.1K contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 12.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8600 and 8799.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 9.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 6%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiFinancials
(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT
K 3.1K contractsWill the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,600 at October 19, 2026 at 10am ET?Yes 50.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,625 at October 19, 2026 at 10am ET?Yes 50.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,650 at October 19, 2026 at 10am ET?Yes 50.5%
+54 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Touchdowns
K 3.1K contractsAnthony Tyus III: 1+ touchdownsYes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Costco Foot Traffic in October
K 3.1K contractsWill Costco Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 90?Yes 95.5%
Will Costco Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 94?Yes 67.5%
Will Costco Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 95?Yes 46.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
K 3.1K contractsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina during the 2026 hurricane season?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US student loan debt at end of 2026
K 3.1K contractsWill total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.82T?Yes 96.5%
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.84T?Yes 95%
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.86T?Yes 91%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in October 2026
K 3.1K contractsWill the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $24.30 in October 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $23.10 in October 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $22.90 in October 2026?Yes 98.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US private data center construction spending in September
K 3.0K contractsWill U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?Yes 97.5%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?Yes 93.5%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?Yes 93%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October
K 3.0K contractsWill the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 97%
Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 3.5%
Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3
K 3.0K contractsWill Klarna Group PLC report Above 121 million active klarna consumers in Q3 2026?Yes 82%
Will Klarna Group PLC report Above 122 million active klarna consumers in Q3 2026?Yes 73%
Will Klarna Group PLC report Above 123 million active klarna consumers in Q3 2026?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 19, 2026?
K 3.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 38%
Will the maximum temperature be <75° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Turkey rate decision in October
K 3.0K contractsWill the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye cut 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 49.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye hike 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027
K 3.0K contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.0%?Yes 96%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.5%?Yes 94.5%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.0%?Yes 85%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)
K 3.0K contractsCPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 2.9%)Yes 26%
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 2.8%)Yes 19%
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 3.0%)Yes 13%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026?
K 3.0K contractsRain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 78%
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 24.5%
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Spotify monthly active users in Q3
K 2.9K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 784 million monthly active users in Q3 2026?Yes 80%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 786 million monthly active users in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 788 million monthly active users in Q3 2026?Yes 62%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed median dot plot in December 2026
K 2.9K contractsWhat will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.5%)Yes 97.5%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.7%)Yes 97%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.6%)Yes 97%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC