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Showing 2,209-2,256 of 7,857 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Nigerian presidential election winner?
K 13.8K contractsWho will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Bola Tinubu)Yes 73%
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Peter Obi)Yes 23%
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Atiku Abubakar)Yes 3.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PM $33.6KWill Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 33.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 24%
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 22%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Norway rate decision in November
K 13.8K contractsWill Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 84.5%
Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 13.5%
Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar?
PM $33.5KWill Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Yes >99.9%
Will Malin Sjölander be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Yes 0.4%
Will Karin Helmersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Yes <0.1%
+1 more
KalshiPolitics
Who will run for president in 2028?
K 13.7K contractsWill Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 41%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 29%
Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 24.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
PM $33.5KWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-34 House winner?
PM $33.5K · K 72.3K contractsWill Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-34 House election? (Angela Gonzales-Torres)
Related contracts
PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 80%
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-34 House election? (Jimmy Gomez)
Related contracts
PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 18%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?
K 13.7K contractsDonald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-13 House election: Bob Cohen vote percent
K 13.7K contractsWill Bob Cohen receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 House election?Yes 6%
Will Bob Cohen receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 House election?Yes 5%
Will Bob Cohen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
PM $33.4KChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Governor election: Kathy Hochul vote percent
K 13.7K contractsWill Kathy Hochul receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Kathy Hochul receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 94%
Will Kathy Hochul receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Winnipeg Mayoral Election
PM $33.3KWill Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 80%
Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 11.3%
Will Michael Vogiatzakis win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 5.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.7K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 75%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 42%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?
PM $33.3KWill Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Yes 25.5%
Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Yes 19.9%
Will Wandisile Jikeka be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
K 13.6K contractsWill the number of Trump rallies be above 35 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Yes 96%
Will the number of Trump rallies be above 40 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will the number of Trump rallies be above 45 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ohio Senate Election: Turnout
PM $33.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000?Yes 27.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?Yes 20.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?Yes 15.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Drake: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 13.6K contractsWill Drake have above 11.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Drake have above 11.75M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Drake have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 95.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $33.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona State Senate winner?
K 13.6K contractsWho will win the Arizona State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 69.5%
Who will win the Arizona State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-05 House Election Winner
PM $33.1KWill the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Yes 80.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?Yes 20.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
PM $33.0K · K 39.3K contractsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Andy Burnham announce their departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.7%Rules differK Yes 6.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 3rd District margin of victory
K 13.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 74%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Surrey mayoral election winner?
K 13.6K contractsWill Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes 71%
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes 29%
Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Norrbotten?
PM $32.9KWill Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Yes 88.5%
Will Kenneth Backgård be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Yes 3.2%
Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Yes 1.9%
+1 more
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Animated Feature
K 13.6K contractsWill Toy Story 5 be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89.5%
Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 86.5%
Will Hoppers be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-03 House Election Winner
PM $32.9KWill the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-03 House seat?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama
K 13.6K contractsWill Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89.5%
Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-43 House Election Winner
PM $32.9KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-43 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
K 13.6K contractsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 1.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner
PM $32.9KWill Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes 97.2%
Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California State Senate District 26 election winner
K 13.6K contractsWho will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Sara Hernandez)Yes 84%
Who will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Sarah Rascón)Yes 14%
Who will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Wendy Carrillo)Yes 1%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-17 House Election Winner
PM $32.8KWill the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-17 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?
K 13.6K contractsWill a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
PM $32.7KJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-08 House Election Winner
PM $32.7KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?Yes 97.9%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kelowna mayoral election winner?
K 13.5K contractsWill Tom Dyas win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 95.5%
Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 24.5%
Will Tracy Gray win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closest Senate Race?
PM $32.6KWill Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes 16.8%
Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes 16%
Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes 15.4%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series
K 13.5K contractsWill Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 87%
Will Javier Bardem be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-02 House Election Winner
PM $32.6KWill the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-02 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Billie Eilish Streams in 2026
K 13.5K contractsWill Billie Eilish have 9750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Billie Eilish have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Billie Eilish have 9250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-11 House Election Winner
PM $32.6KWill the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
K 13.5K contractsWill Republicans receive above 6% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 90.5%
Will Republicans receive above 8% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 72%
Will Republicans receive above 9% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
PM $32.6KWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 9th District margin of victory
K 13.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 88.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
PM $32.6KIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Governor margin of victory
K 13.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 7.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Delaware Senate Election Winner
PM $32.3KWill the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Yes 97.2%
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC