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Showing 2,257-2,304 of 7,383 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
K 10.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 1%?Yes 92.5%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 4%?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 7%?Yes 60%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
New Mexico Senate winner?
PM $27.3K · K 59.1K contractsWill the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Mexico?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 97.2%
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Mexico?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.9%Rules differK Yes 2.2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?
K 10.5K contractsWill Bond Question 1 pass?Yes 96%
Will Bond Question 2 pass?Yes 94.5%
Will Bond Question 3 pass?Yes 84.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $27.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
PM $27.3K · K 18.6K contractsWill Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 38%
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?
Kalshi: Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will another state enact a data center moratorium?
K 10.5K contractsWill a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 73.5%
Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 65.5%
Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-02 House winner?
K 10.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-02?Yes 92%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-02?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-02 House Election Winner
PM $27.2KWill the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
K 10.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 2%?Yes 47.5%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 4%?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 6%?Yes 30%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-06 House Election Winner
PM $27.2KWill the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-06 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 5th District margin of victory
K 10.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 17%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 9.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 3.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-16 House Election Winner
PM $27.2KWill the Democratic Party win the TX-16 House seat?Yes 96.9%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-16 House seat?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Minnesota Attorney General winner?
PM $27.2K · K 100.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Minnesota?
Related contracts
PM Yes 80%Rules differK Yes 76.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Minnesota?
Related contracts
PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 23.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland's 1st District margin of victory
K 10.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 57%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next Moldovan presidential election winner?
K 10.5K contractsWho will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Alexandr Stoianoglo)Yes 20.5%
Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Igor Dodon)Yes 14.5%
Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Igor Grosu)Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?
PM $27.2KWill Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms?Yes >99.9%
Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms?Yes 98.9%
Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before the midterms?Yes 98.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Wales call a snap election?
K 10.5K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Senedd is called before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 14.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Senedd is called before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-01 House Election Winner
PM $27.1KWill the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?Yes 97.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Rubio and Vance run for President?
K 10.4K contractsWill Rubio and Vance run for President?Yes 50.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
PM $27.1KWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes 96.9%
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
K 10.4K contractsWill Together finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 73.5%
Will The Democrats finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 8%
Will Otzma Yehudit finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 6%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner
PM $27.0KWill Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 40.1%
Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 37.5%
Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 22.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Spanish general election: voter turnout
K 10.4K contractsWill at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%
Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%
Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?Yes 95.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $27.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
PM $26.9K · K 433.9K contractsSupreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 8.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
K 10.3K contractsWho will win the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chuck Schumer)Yes 49%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Thune)Yes 29.5%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chris Van Hollen)Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Attorney General winner?
K 10.3K contractsWho will win the 2026 California Attorney General election? (Rob Bonta)Yes 96.5%
Who will win the 2026 California Attorney General election? (Michael E. Gates)Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-06 House Election Winner
PM $26.9KWill the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party win the OR-06 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-04 House winner?
K 10.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-04?Yes 86.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-04?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-07 House Election Winner
PM $26.8KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?Yes 97.6%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-07 House seat?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
K 10.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 2%?Yes 47.5%
Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 4%?Yes 42%
Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 6%?Yes 33%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump resign before 2027?
PM $26.8KWill Trump resign before 2027?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-37 House election: Lauren Peña vote percent
K 10.3K contractsWill Lauren Peña receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Lauren Peña receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 85%
Will Lauren Peña receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-03 House Election Winner
PM $26.8KWill the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-03 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
South Carolina Governor winner?
PM $26.7K · K 38.3K contractsWill the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 93.8%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in South Carolina
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.8%Rules differK Yes 5.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percent
K 10.3K contractsWill Blake Gendebien receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 96.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NV-04 House winner?
PM $26.7K · K 14.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NV-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 95.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NV-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.3%Rules differK Yes 2.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-05 House election: John Nagel vote percent
K 10.2K contractsWill John Nagel receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 98%
Will John Nagel receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will John Nagel receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
K 10.2K contractsDemocratic trifecta in Minnesota?Yes 86%
Democratic trifecta in Michigan?Yes 79%
Democratic trifecta in Oregon?Yes 70%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closest Governor's Race?
PM $26.7KWill Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 13.9%
Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 10.9%
+33 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ND-AL House winner?
K 10.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for ND-AL?Yes 97.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for ND-AL?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Senate winner?
PM $26.6K · K 35.6K contractsWill the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98.2%Rules differK Yes 98.4%
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.2%Rules differK Yes 1.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
K 10.2K contractsWill Chuck Edwards be out as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
PM $26.6KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?Yes 28.2%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?Yes 27.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?Yes 17.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama Attorney General winner?
K 10.1K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Alabama?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Alabama?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $26.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 14.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
EPL: Managers out before 2027
K 10.1K contractsWill Michael Carrick cease to be manager of Manchester United before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
Will Álvaro Arbeloa cease to be manager of Fulham before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 41.5%
Will Pierre Sage cease to be manager of Crystal Palace before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 31.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC