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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 193-240 of 1,260 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiTech
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3

Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3

K 95.4K contracts
Will Carvana Co. report Above 200000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 205000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 210000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

PM $87.4K
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 15%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 8.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 4.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
MotoGP World Champion

MotoGP World Champion

K 92.6K contracts
Will Marc Marquez be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 75.5%
Will Jorge Martin be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 20%
Will Marco Bezzecchi be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 3%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

PM $87.3K
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?

Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?

K 92.5K contracts
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 66%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 10.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

PM $86.1K
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes 92.9%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes 71.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Mobile container volume in 2026

Port of Mobile container volume in 2026

K 92.5K contracts
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 425,000 TEUs?Yes 96%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 450,000 TEUs?Yes 89%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 475,000 TEUs?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

PM $83.1K
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

PM $82.6K · K 15.9K contracts

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14%Rules differK Yes 21.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

K 90.3K contracts
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

K 89.0K contracts
Will the Secretary of State visit India before 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Uzbekistan before 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?Yes 27.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

PM $81.9K
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes 87%
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Yes 18.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

K 80.7K contracts
Will Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?

#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?

PM $80.7K
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 43.5%
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 21%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 6.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

K 80.4K contracts
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?Yes 40.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?Yes 14%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?Yes 10.3%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

PM $80.6K
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 5%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 4%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Receptions

Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Receptions

K 77.8K contracts
Dalton Kincaid: 2+ receptionsYes 89.5%
Khalil Shakir: 2+ receptionsYes 86.5%
Brock Bowers: 4+ receptionsYes 86.5%
+78 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

PM $78.8K
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 29.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

K 76.8K contracts
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from custody before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

PM $78.3K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 76.9%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.9%
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch

Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch

K 76.6K contracts
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Pepas)Yes 48.5%
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Mask Off)Yes 34.5%
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Bad and Boujee)Yes 32.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

PM $78.1K
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What companies will Trump say in October?

What companies will Trump say in October?

K 76.1K contracts
Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of October?

3rd Largest Company end of October?

PM $77.8K
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 79.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 20.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 1.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?

K 74.1K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 96.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Farm / Farmer)Yes 95.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

PM $76.7K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions

Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions

K 71.2K contracts
CeeDee Lamb: 3+ receptionsYes 92.5%
Tucker Kraft: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
George Pickens: 3+ receptionsYes 86%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

PM $76.0K
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.1%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 3.8%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

K 71.1K contracts
Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%
Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 80%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

PM $75.2K
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 57.2%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 26.1%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 2.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who will perform at Las Vegas Sphere in 2027?

Who will perform at Las Vegas Sphere in 2027?

K 70.5K contracts
Will Beyoncé perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 55.5%
Will Coldplay perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 32%
Will Spice Girls perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 29%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

PM $75.0K
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Yes 58%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Reading in 2026?

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

K 69.7K contracts
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (No significant difference)Yes 39%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant increase)Yes 20.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

PM $73.9K
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 18.9%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 18.2%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 14.2%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

K 67.4K contracts
Will exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will exactly 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 42%
Will exactly 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 5.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

PM $69.7K
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.8%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 17.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

K 67.3K contracts
New pandemic by 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

PM $67.4K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 68%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 24%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 3%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

K 65.9K contracts
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

PM $66.5K
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 37.9%
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 30.4%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

K 65.7K contracts
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

PM $66.3K
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Yes 66.5%
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Yes 49%
2 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026

The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026

K 65.3K contracts
Will Bernie Sanders go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 55%
Will Tulsi Gabbard go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%
Will Alex Jones go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

PM $65.9K
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 25.6%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon headcount in Q3

Amazon headcount in Q3

K 65.2K contracts
Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.54 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.56 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.58 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 94.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

PM $65.7K
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)

Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)

K 64.4K contracts
Will Tate McRae have above 2.3M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Tate McRae have above 2.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

PM $65.4K
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.3%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC