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Showing 2,593-2,640 of 8,366 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in 2026?
K 11.5K contractsWill the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $54,000 in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $55,000 in 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $56,000 in 2026?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.5K · K 6.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-9?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.4%Rules differK Yes 95%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-09 House election?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-9?
Related contracts
PM Yes 37%Rules differK Yes 3.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-09 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-9?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 3.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
K 11.5K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?
K 11.4K contractsWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 92%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 85.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 78%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-07 House Election Winner
PM $24.5KWill the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
119th Congress legislative combo
K 11.4K contractsWill a crypto market structure bill be become law AND the farm bill be become law AND a federal housing bill be become law for Jan 2027?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 13.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 11.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Lyft App Downloads in October
K 11.4K contractsWill Lyft App Downloads for October 2026 be above 80 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Lyft App Downloads for October 2026 be above 60 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Lyft App Downloads for October 2026 be above 85 ?Yes 97.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
PM $24.4KHouse favorite on November 2 wins the election?Yes 89%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
K 11.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 66%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 12.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor
K 11.4K contractsWill John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 96%
Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90%
Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
PM $24.4KWill Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 39.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 28.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 20.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois pension debt in 2026?
K 11.4K contractsWill the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 95%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?Yes 78%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-05 House Election Winner
PM $24.4KWill the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?Yes 96.6%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-05 House seat?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia State House winner?
K 11.4K contractsWho will win the Georgia State House? (Republican party)Yes 67.5%
Who will win the Georgia State House? (Democratic party)Yes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
PM $24.4KWill Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Global remittances received in 2026
K 11.4K contractsWill global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $750 billion?Yes 94.5%
Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $800 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $850 billion?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 11.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
K 11.3K contractsWill the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?Yes 88%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 4%?Yes 87.5%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 6%?Yes 87%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $24.4KWill Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes 97%
Will Martin Ross win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
IN-01 House winner?
PM $24.3K · K 31.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.6%Rules differK Yes 97%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.9%Rules differK Yes 1.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 12th District margin of victory
K 11.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 11.3K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 58.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 80%-85%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 85%-90%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 75%-80%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-09 House winner?
K 11.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-09?Yes 95.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-09?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Maryland Governor winner?
PM $24.3K · K 67.6K contractsWill the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Maryland
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.7%Rules differK Yes 97.4%
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maryland
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 2.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?
K 11.3K contractsWill O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taiwan presidential election winner?
K 11.2K contractsWho will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (William Lai)Yes 74.5%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Cheng Li-wun)Yes 11%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou)Yes 4.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner
PM $24.3KWill Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 56.5%
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 31.5%
Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 7.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 11.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 3800000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4100000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4400000?Yes 81%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
PM $24.1KWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Yes 21%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Yes 16.2%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?Yes 16%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?
K 11.2K contractsWill Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 36.5%
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 30.5%
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-05 House Election Winner
PM $24.1KWill the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?Yes 93%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?
K 11.2K contractsWill BC Conservatives be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 74%
Will BC NDP be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 28%
Will BC Greens be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?
PM $24.0KWill the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Yes 23%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?Yes 11%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress
K 11.2K contractsWill Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79%
Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 69%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PM $24.0KWill the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 35%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 33.5%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 30.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank of England rate decision in December
K 11.2K contractsWill the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 51.5%
Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 30.5%
Will the Bank of England Hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-01 House Election Winner
PM $24.0KWill the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?Yes 87.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?Yes 10.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 95.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 95%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-06 House Election Winner
PM $24.0KWill the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
PM $24.0K · K 6.3K contractsWill Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will South Dakota cattle inventory rise YoY?
K 11.1K contractsWill South Dakota’s inventory of all cattle and calves for January 1, 2027 be above 3,550,000 head?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 82%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $23.9KWill Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be less than $9B at market close on IPO day?Yes 2.8%
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.9%
+5 more