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Showing 3,121-3,168 of 7,014 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
K 5.2K contractsWill the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-04 House winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for UT-04?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for UT-04?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 92.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-28 House election: Henry Cuellar vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Henry Cuellar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Henry Cuellar receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 94%
Will Henry Cuellar receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 39%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
K 5.2K contractsWill the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?Yes 68.5%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?Yes 49%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Coquitlam mayoral election winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 99.5%
Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
Will Madhavee Inamdar win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska's 1st District margin of victory
K 5.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 51%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 37%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?
PM $14.6KWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-27 House election: Michael Cloud vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Michael Cloud receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Michael Cloud receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 86%
Will Michael Cloud receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-06 House winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-06?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-06?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Governor election: Jerri Green vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Jerri Green receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jerri Green receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jerri Green receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-04 House election: George McDermott vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill George McDermott receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 98%
Will George McDermott receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will George McDermott receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 88%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-25 House election: Jared Moskowitz vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Jared Moskowitz receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jared Moskowitz receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jared Moskowitz receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 88.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 5.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 3700000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 3900000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4100000?Yes 74%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 15.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-13 House election: Adam Gray vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Adam Gray receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Adam Gray receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 96%
Will Adam Gray receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress on TV
K 5.1K contractsWill Kate O’Flynn be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Hannah Einbinder be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84.5%
Will Linda Cardellini be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?
K 5.1K contractsWho will win the 2026 Missouri State Senate District 8 general election? (Jon Patterson)Yes 56.5%
Who will win the 2026 Missouri State Senate District 8 general election? (Keri Ingle)Yes 45%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Plzeň
PM $14.5KWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 96.9%
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.8%
Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.5%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
CA-20 House winner?
K 5.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for CA-20?Yes 96.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-20?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 54.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?
PM $14.5KWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?Yes 93%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?Yes 79%
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?Yes 62.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DSCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 5.1K contractsWill the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $35M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 61%
Will the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $40M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%
Will the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $25M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Plague case in US by December 31?
PM $14.5KPlague case in US by December 31?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
K 5.1K contractsWill it be reported by The Times of Israel that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 43%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 16.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 13th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 13th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 25.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 27%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 6.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 15.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Ilhan Omar receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.4KWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Uppsala?
PM $14.4KWill Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 96.8%
Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 2.3%
Will Christer Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 0.8%
+9 more