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Showing 3,265-3,312 of 7,164 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 26th District margin of victory
K 5.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 60%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
X banned in any European country by December 31?
PM $13.9KX banned in any European country by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
K 5.3K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PM $13.8KAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-05 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AL-05?Yes 94.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-05?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
FL-13 House winner?
PM $13.8K · K 47.7K contractsWill the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 76%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 25%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
K 5.3K contractsWill California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member be charged with a fraud crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percent
K 5.3K contractsWill Stacy Garrity receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 88%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-01 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-01?Yes 96.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-01?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
PM $13.8KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 98.2%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Senate winner? (2028)
K 5.3K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Florida?Yes 82.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PM $13.8KWill Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%
Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NV-04 House election: Cody Whipple vote percent
K 5.3K contractsWill Cody Whipple receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Cody Whipple receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 79.5%
Will Cody Whipple receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-03 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-03?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-03?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-14 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-14?Yes 95.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-14?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Vocal Album
K 5.3K contractsGrammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love)Yes 95.5%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE.)Yes 63.5%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (The Romantic)Yes 50%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
PM $13.6KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 46.5%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 43%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 7%
+2 more
KalshiWorld
Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?
K 5.3K contractsWill the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44%
Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Aug 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.6KWill Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 52.5%
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 25.5%
Will Ryan Meunier win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 2.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-04 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-04?Yes 96.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-04?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona Secretary of State winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 80%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?
K 5.3K contractsWill Question 1 pass?Yes 92.5%
Will Question 4 pass?Yes 90%
Will Question 6 pass?Yes 86.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 13.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
K 5.2K contractsWill the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
PM $13.5KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Yes 34.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 28%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be less than 900,000?Yes 23.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-04 House winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for UT-04?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for UT-04?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place
PM $13.5KWill The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 32%
Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 20.8%
Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 18.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
K 5.2K contractsWill near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 22.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 92.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-28 House election: Henry Cuellar vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Henry Cuellar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Henry Cuellar receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 94%
Will Henry Cuellar receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 11.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
TX-28 House winner?
PM $13.4K · K 234.8K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-28?
Related contracts
PM Yes 91%Rules differK Yes 92.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-28?
Related contracts
PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 8.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
K 5.2K contractsWill the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?Yes 68.5%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?Yes 49%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Coquitlam mayoral election winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 99.5%
Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
Will Madhavee Inamdar win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 36%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska's 1st District margin of victory
K 5.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 51%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 37%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
PM $13.4KWill Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-27 House election: Michael Cloud vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Michael Cloud receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Michael Cloud receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 86%
Will Michael Cloud receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC