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Showing 3,457-3,504 of 8,357 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Texas House of Representatives winner
K 7.0K contractsWho will win the Texas House of Representatives? (Republican Party)Yes 78.5%
Who will win the Texas House of Representatives? (Democratic Party)Yes 21%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 31.5%
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.2%
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa State Senate winner?
K 7.0K contractsWho will win the Iowa State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 97.5%
Who will win the Iowa State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
K 7.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 87%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 69%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $15.2KWill Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 67%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 21.9%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 14%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Saanich mayoral election winner?
K 7.0K contractsWill Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes 62%
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes 39%
Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes 11%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2031
K 7.0K contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 56.00%?Yes 89%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 58.00%?Yes 82.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 58.50%?Yes 68.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 16, 2032 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 42.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 12.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan's 4th District margin of victory
K 7.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 44%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 30%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 16%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PM $15.1KWill total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?Yes 37.5%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?Yes 15.2%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?Yes 14.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

2028 Senate winner
K 7.0K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Senate in 2028?Yes 53.5%
Will the Republican party win the Senate in 2028?Yes 47.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
PM $15.1K0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percent
K 7.0K contractsWill Tom Tiffany receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Tom Tiffany receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Tom Tiffany receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
PM $15.1KWill there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
K 7.0K contractsWill Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 40%
Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 15%
+13 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 19%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 21% or more?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Maine approve contracts for the northern Maine wind and transmission project?
K 7.0K contractsWill the Maine Public Utilities Commission announce its final approval of fully executed contracts (not bidder selections or term-sheet awards) under the Northern Maine Renewable Energy Development Program covering both a transmission line into ISO-New England and at least 600 MW (nameplate) of northern Maine renewable generation delivering over it before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races?
K 7.0K contractsWill Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska?Yes 43.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
K 7.0K contractsWill U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 93%
Will U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 1.5%?Yes 75%
Will U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 2.0%?Yes 61%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout
PM $15.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 36%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,450,000 and 2,600,000?Yes 25.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory
K 7.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 53%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 33%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IL-01 House winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-01?Yes 96.2%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-01?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Kansas vote to require U.S. citizenship to vote?
K 6.9K contractsWill HCR 5004 pass?Yes 86.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 28.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-06 House winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for PA-06?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-06?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-14 House winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-14?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-14?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 28.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?Yes 92.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
PM $15.0KWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.86% in October?Yes 39%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?Yes 33%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?Yes 29.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
K 6.9K contractsWill above -25000 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will above 0 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 84%
Will above 10000 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 80%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
PM $15.0KWill Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?Yes 84.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?Yes 52.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 69%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho Senate Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?Yes 38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?Yes 21.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?Yes 19.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
PM $15.0K · K 339.4K contractsWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 9.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Trump's next address to the nation be?
K 6.9K contractsWill it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 89%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 81%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Delta, BC mayoral election winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 75.5%
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 27%
Will George V. Harvie win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NM-01 House election: Didi Okpareke vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Didi Okpareke receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 95%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 84.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout
PM $14.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 325,000 and 350,000?Yes 16.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC