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Showing 3,649-3,696 of 7,168 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
AZ-05 House election: Elizabeth Lee vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Elizabeth Lee receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 96%
Will Elizabeth Lee receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Elizabeth Lee receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 16.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Lt. Gov race in Georgia?Yes 58.5%
Will the Republican party win the Lt. Gov race in Georgia?Yes 42%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US imports of goods from China in 2026
K 4.2K contractsWill U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion?Yes 72.5%
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280 billion?Yes 53%
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?
K 4.2K contractsWill Sylvia Luke be out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.4KWill Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 66%
Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 34.5%
Will Selva Rasaiah win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 0.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-05 House election: Mallory Dittmer vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Mallory Dittmer receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
PM $10.4KWill Republicans win the New Hampshire Governor election and Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 84%
Will Republicans sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 11%
Will Democrats sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-06 House election: Addison McDowell vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Addison McDowell receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 62%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.4KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?Yes 28.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?Yes 22.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be 250,000 or more?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)
K 4.2K contractsWill Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 91.5%
Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 59%
Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 39.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
K 4.2K contractsWill the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 40.5%
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
West Virginia Senate margin of victory
K 4.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maricopa County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Katie Hobbs receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 97%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 95.5%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 81.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 25.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 15%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 14%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $10.3KWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 98.3%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 1.3%
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 0.9%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-30 House winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-30?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-30?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
PM $10.3KWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-39 House winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-39?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-39?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sorell Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.3KWill Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 69%
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 21%
Will Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 1.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 4.1K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 96%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 87%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 67.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will a farm bill become law?
K 4.1K contractsWill an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 28.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 72%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 4th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-10 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-10?Yes 96.3%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-10?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
K 4.1K contractsWill Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.2KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-04 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for PA-04?Yes 95.8%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-04?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PM $10.2KWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Yes 78.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?Yes 5.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-06 House election: Juan Ciscomani vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Juan Ciscomani receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 60%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 37%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?Yes 11.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-09 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 95.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of České Budějovice
PM $10.1KWill Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 72%
Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 8.5%
Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 2.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 120000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 150000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 78%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner
PM $10.1KWill the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 54%
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 46.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 86.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Žilina Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 81.5%
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 13.5%
Will Anton Kozlík win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC