Browse prediction markets

Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?

Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?Yes 7.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026

Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 1% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 1.5% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 95%

Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 2% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 79%

+4 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 29.5%

RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $14.3K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 19.5%

MS-03 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for MS-03?Yes 97.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for MS-03?Yes 1%

PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%

Ohio's 15th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 19.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 13.4%

FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 23.6%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%

Global remittances sent in 2026

Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 85.5%

Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $550 billion?Yes 70.5%

Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 50.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC

Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Yes 66.5%

Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?Yes 21.3%

Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?Yes 6.2%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Florida's 27th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 25%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 13.1%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 4.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes 4.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?

Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 7 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 95%

Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 14 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 90%

Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 30 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 85%

+5 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC

Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 29.5%

Will Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 23.1%

Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 20.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC

2028 Green Presidential nominee

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 28.5%

Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 11.5%

Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 5.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.3%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Chile rate decision in October

PM $14.1K · K 31.5K contracts

Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.4%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.8%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

KY-03 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for KY-03?Yes 96.4%

Will Republican win the House race for KY-03?Yes 3%

KalshiEconomics

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?

Will it be confirmed that Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 62%

Will it be confirmed that ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 22%

Will it be confirmed that ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 12.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

OK-04 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for OK-04?Yes 94.9%

Will Democratic win the House race for OK-04?Yes 4.2%

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 46.5%

Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 43%

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 20.8%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 25.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%

California's 21st District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.7%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 92.7%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 86.2%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 52%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

Will David Hogg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 16.5%

Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 12.6%

Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 12.6%

+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC

ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.3%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Florida's 25th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 75.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 64%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 15%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

CT-02 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for CT-02?Yes 98.2%

Will Republican win the House race for CT-02?Yes 2%

TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.9%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.7%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 21%

KalshiCrypto

XRP price at Oct 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Ripple price at Oct 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($0.99991 or above)Yes 99.5%

Ripple price at Oct 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($0.97991 or above)Yes 99.5%

Ripple price at Oct 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($0.95991 or above)Yes 99.5%

+37 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?Yes 17.5%

GA-05 House election: John Salvesen vote percent (1st Round)

Will John Salvesen receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 97%

Will John Salvesen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will John Salvesen receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 89%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 54.5%

Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 39%

Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 5.1%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 15 AP Poll

Will Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96.5%

Will Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96%

Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 95%

+72 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Peterborough, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 42.5%

Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 31%

Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 14.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent

Will David Jolly receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 97%

Will David Jolly receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 95.5%

Will David Jolly receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 84%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 27.6%

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $13.9K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%

NE-03 House election: Adrian Smith vote percent

Will Adrian Smith receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 92%

Will Adrian Smith receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 80%

Will Adrian Smith receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 62%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC