Politics prediction markets
6,971 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 337-384 of 6,971 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld
Who will run for public office in 2026?
K 124.9K contractsWill Nicki Minaj announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.6%
Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.3%
Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
PM $663.6KU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
K 123.5K contractsWill Trump expand high-skill immigration?Yes 21%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Erdoğan out by...?
PM $649.6KErdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Yes 16%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader
K 122.3K contractsWill Brock Purdy lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 31%
Will Jared Goff lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 17.5%
Will Joe Burrow lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 15%
+25 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PM $642.4KUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026
K 121.4K contractsWill Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 25 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 26 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 27 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 74.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
PM $627.1KWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
K 120.8K contractsWill Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?Yes 11.1%
Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?Yes 9%
Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?Yes 4.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia invade another country by...?
PM $618.7KWill Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes 19%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PM $618.2KWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 14.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
K 119.3K contractsWill Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 62.5%
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 30.5%
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 3.5%
+65 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
PM $618.1KWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 58.9%
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.4%
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
K 118.9K contractsWill the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 99.6%
Will the national debt hit $42.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 96.5%
Will the national debt hit $45 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 85.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $609.0KWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 78%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes 59%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 117.6K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 57%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PM $598.6KWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 41.5%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 25.9%
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Texas Governor winner?
PM $585.1K · K 2.49M contractsWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 73.5%Rules differK Yes 74.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 26.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Senate margin of victory
K 117.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 88%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?
K 117.0K contractsWill SDP finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 50%
Will HDZ coalition finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 46.5%
Will SNSD finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 9%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PM $571.2KPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-05 House winner?
K 116.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WA-05?Yes 88%
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-05?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
PM $567.7KWill Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Top Fantasy RB
K 115.7K contractsWill Jahmyr Gibbs be the #1 ranked fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 48.5%
Will Kenneth Walker III be the #1 ranked fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 21%
Will Bijan Robinson be the #1 ranked fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 17%
+41 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PM $567.0KWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 93.7%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 92%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 86%
+43 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Closest Governor race in 2026?
K 115.1K contractsWill Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?Yes 18.5%
Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?Yes 13%
Will Nevada have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?Yes 9.8%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
PM $565.5KWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
K 112.8K contractsWill the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 115 and 119.99 million?Yes 27.5%
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 110 and 114.99 million?Yes 22%
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PM $564.8KLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-27 House winner?
K 112.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-27?Yes 67.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-27?Yes 33.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
PM $562.5KGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Roblox hours engaged in Q3
K 112.2K contractsWill Roblox Corporation report Above 32 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Roblox Corporation report Above 33 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
Will Roblox Corporation report Above 34 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 67%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PM $548.8KTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 111.2K contractsWill there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 72%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PM $548.3KUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes 79.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Governor margin of victory
K 111.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
PM $547.5KWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 90.3%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 1.1%
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 0.3%
+20 more
KalshiPolitics
2028 Republican Presidential ticket
K 109.9K contractsWill JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 27.5%
Will Marco Rubio and JD Vance be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 8.2%
Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 5.3%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
PM $546.4KWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
K 109.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 50.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US military draft authorized in 2026?
PM $544.4KUS military draft authorized in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be arrested before 2027?
PM $540.0K · K 52.2K contractsWill Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.4%Rules differK Yes 6%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.9%Rules differK Yes 6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
K 108.4K contractsWill Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?Yes 64.5%
Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?Yes 46.5%
Will John Roberts resign during Trump's term?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
K 107.8K contractsWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 73%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 65.5%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 55%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
PM $536.3KWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes 13%
Will Israel annex any territory by March 31?Yes 10.5%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?
K 107.2K contractsWill exactly 1 reconciliation bill become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will exactly 2 reconciliation bills become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
PM $533.6KUkraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC