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Showing 3,985-4,032 of 8,371 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Josh Shapiro receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Victorian state election winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Liberals and Nationals win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 72.5%
Will Australian Labor Party win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 15.5%
Will One Nation win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 11.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US recession by end of 2027?
PM $11.4KUS recession by end of 2027?Yes 35.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory
K 4.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 91.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 89.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
PM $11.4KPaxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Yes 6.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
PM $11.4K · K 31.8K contractsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
Kalshi: Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-22 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-22?Yes 94.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-22?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kamloops mayoral election winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 61%
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 42%
Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 41%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Dems' best tossup Senate race?
PM $11.4KWill the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 35.5%
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 24.5%
Will the Ohio Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 18.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress in a Drama Series
K 4.9K contractsWill Keri Russell be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80%
Will Emmy Rossum be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 67.5%
Will Zendaya be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 60%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-22 House election: David Valadao vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill David Valadao receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?Yes 96%
Will David Valadao receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?Yes 91%
Will David Valadao receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 37%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.9K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 75000?Yes 92%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 80%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
PM $11.2KUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes 58%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-41 House election: Linda Sánchez vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Linda Sánchez receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 96%
Will Linda Sánchez receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 93%
Will Linda Sánchez receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-03 House election: Ami Bera vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Ami Bera receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 97%
Will Ami Bera receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ami Bera receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 94%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SB Energy IPO by...?
PM $11.2KWill SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 20.3%
Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?
K 4.9K contractsWill the U.S. federal government announce commitments totaling at least $15 billion in federal financial assistance toward construction of the Sunnyside Yard deck in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 22%
Will the U.S. federal government announce commitments totaling at least $15 billion in federal financial assistance toward construction of the Sunnyside Yard deck in New York City before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan State House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWho will win the Michigan State House? (Democratic party)Yes 74.5%
Who will win the Michigan State House? (Republican party)Yes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-03 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OH-03?Yes 97.2%
Will Republican win the House race for OH-03?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
PM $11.2KWill OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Yes 40.6%
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Yes 12.4%
Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Yes 12%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania State House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWho will win the Pennsylvania State House election? (Democratic party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Pennsylvania State House election? (Republican party)Yes 7.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-05 House Election Winner
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.9K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 91.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
PM $11.1KWill voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 56.5%
Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 19%
Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-04 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AR-04?Yes 97.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-04?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?
K 4.9K contractsWill Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 47.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
US SPR level for the week ending October 16, 2026
K 4.9K contractsWill US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 16, 2026 be above 277M?Yes 99%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 16, 2026 be above 278M?Yes 98.5%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 16, 2026 be above 279M?Yes 98%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 76%
Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 191000?Yes 73%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 61%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 47%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 80%-85%?Yes 29.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 75%-80%?Yes 25.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner
PM $11.1KWill the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress in a Comedy Series
K 4.8K contractsWill Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 93.5%
Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71.5%
Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?Yes 40.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MT-02 House election: Troy Downing vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Troy Downing receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 65.5%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 46.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-33 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 23.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Bobby Scott receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bobby Scott receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 96%
Will Bobby Scott receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 94%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
PM $11.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?Yes 57.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?Yes 18.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 15%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 15th District margin of victory
K 4.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 9.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 7.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trenčín Mayoral Election Winner
PM $11.0KWill Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 89%
Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 7%
Will Danica Birošová win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 1.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC