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Showing 3,985-4,032 of 8,007 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?
PM $11.5KWill Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 34.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 30.5%
Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-06 House election: Ben Cline vote percent
K 4.6K contractsWill Ben Cline receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ben Cline receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 90%
Will Ben Cline receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner
PM $11.5KWill Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-01 House election: Chad Humphrey vote percent
K 4.6K contractsWill Chad Humphrey receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 64.5%
Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 19%
Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Big Ten: Sacks Leader
K 4.5K contractsTobi Osunsanmi records the most sacks in the Big TenYes 40.5%
John Henry Daley records the most sacks in the Big TenYes 7.5%
Kenyatta Jackson Jr. records the most sacks in the Big TenYes 3.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Top 3 Fantasy D/ST
K 4.5K contractsWill MIN Vikings D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 73%
Will PHI Eagles D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 55%
Will BUF Bills D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 54.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?
K 4.5K contractsWill James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
PM $11.4KPaxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?
K 4.5K contractsWill the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
PM $11.4K · K 31.8K contractsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
Kalshi: Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 20.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-06 House election: John Peterson vote percent
K 4.5K contractsWill John Peterson receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 94%
Will John Peterson receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 90%
Will John Peterson receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.4KWill Claude Opus's output price be at or below $15 in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 23%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 21%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will West Virginia require voters to be U.S. and West Virginia citizens?
K 4.5K contractsWill Amendment 1 pass?Yes 96%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PM $11.4KWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-16 House election: Darin LaHood vote percent
K 4.5K contractsWill Darin LaHood receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Darin LaHood receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 94%
Will Darin LaHood receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 88%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 40%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israel Katz departure announced?
K 4.5K contractsWill Israel Katz leave Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Dems' best tossup Senate race?
PM $11.3KWill the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 29.5%
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 24.5%
Will the Maine Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-01 House winner?
K 4.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for LA-01?Yes 95%
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-01?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 40%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
K 4.5K contractsRain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?Yes 54%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?
K 4.5K contractsWill the Georgia Public Service Commission announce the certification of at least 4,000 MW in aggregate of new generating or energy storage capacity for Georgia Power — nameplate MW newly approved as supply-side resources under Georgia's integrated resource planning statute, summed across any number of Commission decisions and excluding need findings, RFP approvals, and revisions to previously certified resources before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 9, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
K 4.5K contractsHow many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 6)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 7)Yes 96.5%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 8)Yes 91%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 4.5K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 96%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 89%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 77%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?
PM $11.2KWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 7.1%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
K 4.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 32.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lexington mayoral election winner?
K 4.4K contractsWho will win the 2026 Lexington, Kentucky mayoral election? (Linda Gorton)Yes 81.5%
Who will win the 2026 Lexington, Kentucky mayoral election? (Raquel Carter)Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-05 House Election Winner
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 8th District margin of victory
K 4.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 12.5%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ed Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
K 4.4K contractsWill Ed Davey resign as the Liberal Democrats leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
PM $11.1KWill voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 56.5%
Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 19%
Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nigerian Senate election winner?
K 4.4K contractsWho will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (APC)Yes 88.5%
Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (PDP)Yes 10.5%
Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (Labour)Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 2nd District margin of victory
K 4.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 88.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 71%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?
K 4.4K contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder CountyYes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
PM $11.1KWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Yes 87.2%
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (October 2026)
K 4.4K contractsWill Olivia Rodrigo have above 8M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 10M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 12M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 91.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC