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Showing 4,033-4,080 of 11,162 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Gina Hinojosa receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 66%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 55%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 39%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 25% or more?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 18.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 7th District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 16%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 0%-20%?Yes 14.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
K 3.3K contractsWill Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 51%
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 47%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Codex launch a token by ___?
PM $11.6KWill Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 54.5%
Will Codex launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 49%
Will Codex launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 42.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?
PM $11.6K · K 3.5K contractsWill SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will SDA win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Same question, fine print differs
PM Yes 91.8%Rules differK Yes 61%
Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will NiP win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Same question, fine print differs
PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 49.5%
Will HDZ BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will HDZ BiH win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Same question, fine print differs
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 42.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WV-02 House winner?
K 3.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WV-02?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for WV-02?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-14 House winner?
K 3.3K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-14?Yes 96.1%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-14?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law?
K 3.3K contractsWill legislation that channels government funds directly into HSAs and/or FSAs become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Xavier Becerra receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 96%
Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 93%
Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 86%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-29 House election: Sylvia Garcia vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Sylvia Garcia receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Sylvia Garcia receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 80%
Will Sylvia Garcia receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 67%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
In what year will the next UK general election be held?
K 3.3K contractsWill it be confirmed that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 65.5%
Will it be confirmed that 2028 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 37.5%
Will it be confirmed that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 11%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 44.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
K 3.3K contractsWill Alice Weidel become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 37.5%
Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 17%
Will No one become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Aug 26, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?
PM $11.5KWill Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 35%
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 30.5%
Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Turkey rate decision in October
K 3.3K contractsWill the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye cut 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 81.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 16.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye hike 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner
PM $11.5KWill Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-08 House election: Christopher Reichard vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Christopher Reichard receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 97%
Will Christopher Reichard receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Christopher Reichard receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
K 3.3K contractsWill Fireworks Initiative pass?Yes 53.5%
Will War Materiel Act amendment pass?Yes 43.5%
Will AHV VAT financing pass?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
PM $11.4KPaxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Yes 6.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
PM $11.4K · K 31.8K contractsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
Kalshi: Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
MVP Finalists
K 3.3K contractsWill Josh Allen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 57.5%
Will Bijan Robinson be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 53%
Will Trevor Lawrence be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 51.5%
+38 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 90.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Dems' best tossup Senate race?
PM $11.4KWill the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 35.5%
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 24.5%
Will the Ohio Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 18.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Phil Scott receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
Will Phil Scott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 83%
Will Phil Scott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 65%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 37%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 59.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?
PM $11.2KEthereum Up or Down on October 20?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Dakota governor winner? (2028)
K 3.3K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in North DakotaYes 85.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in North DakotaYes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-13 House winner?
K 3.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-13?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-13?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
K 3.2K contractsWill Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 75.5%
Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 70.5%
Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 62.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 16, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Indiana's 1st District margin of victory
K 3.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 87%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 78.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 69%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-05 House Election Winner
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-05 House election: Stephanie Bice vote percent
K 3.2K contractsWill Stephanie Bice receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Stephanie Bice receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Stephanie Bice receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
PM $11.1KWill voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 56.5%
Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 19%
Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC