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Showing 241-288 of 1,950 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
K 111.9K contractsWill the number of rate changes before 2027 be exactly 2?Yes 63.9%
Will the number of rate changes before 2027 be exactly 1?Yes 17.3%
Will the number of rate changes before 2027 be exactly 3?Yes 8.8%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?
PM $21.5KWill OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Yes 42.5%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA?Yes 26.1%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT?Yes 26%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
PM $20.3K · K 4.2K contractsWill the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 77%Rules differK Yes 73.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 73.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.35% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 47%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
K 111.9K contractsHow much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 500000 in a single quarter)Yes 51%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 750000 in a single quarter)Yes 4%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 1000000 in a single quarter)Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
K 109.4K contractsWill the national average price for diesel in 2026 go above $6.60?Yes 62.5%
Will the national average price for diesel in 2026 go above $6.80?Yes 60.5%
Will the national average price for diesel in 2026 go above $7.00?Yes 46.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $19.0KWill Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 49%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes 40%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 9.4%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Wisconsin corn yield in 2026
K 106.1K contractsWill Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?Yes 97.5%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
3rd largest private company end of October?
PM $18.5KWill ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 98.3%
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 1.1%
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 0.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
First Solar module volume sold in Q3
K 104.5K contractsWill First Solar Inc. report Above 3700 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3800 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3900 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
PM $18.4KAnthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?Yes 76.8%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Yes 66.5%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 35%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3
K 104.3K contractsWill American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 45%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
PM $18.1KWill the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Yes 41.5%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Yes 29.5%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla Roadster delivery
K 104.2K contractsTesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2029)Yes 55.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before July, 2028)Yes 31.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2028)Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?
PM $17.9KWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes 62%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa ethanol production in 2026
K 103.8K contractsWill Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.3 billion gallons?Yes 97%
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.4 billion gallons?Yes 96%
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.5 billion gallons?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
PM $17.8KMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes 1.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin total milk production in 2026
K 100.7K contractsWill Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 32.75 billion pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.00 billion pounds?Yes 92.5%
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.25 billion pounds?Yes 59.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PM $17.7KWill OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 82.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
PM $16.6KCopper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?Yes 44%
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Yes 31%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3
K 95.4K contractsWill Carvana Co. report Above 200000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 205000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 210000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 87.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PM $16.4KWill Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
K 95.2K contractsWill **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q1 2027?Yes 91%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q1 2027?Yes 84%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q1 2027?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Jul 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PM $16.4KWill OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of November 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Yes 25%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026
K 94.8K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?Yes 96.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?Yes 61.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9000?Yes 60%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in October 2026?
PM $16.1KWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in October?Yes 78.5%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 in October?Yes 54%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 in October?Yes 21.2%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Rhode Island commercial quahog landings in 2026
K 94.2K contractsWill Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 190,000 meat pounds?Yes 93.5%
Will Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 220,000 meat pounds?Yes 78.5%
Will Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 250,000 meat pounds?Yes 61.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
PM $15.6KWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes 23.3%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of November 2026?Yes 17.7%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3
K 93.6K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56.5 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 57 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 71.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?
PM $14.7KWill USD/CAD hit 1.50 (High) in 2026?Yes 50%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.33 (Low) in 2026?Yes 49%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?Yes 49%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
K 93.4K contractsWill government spending decrease by 1 before 2028?Yes 5.5%
Will government spending decrease by $200 billion before 2028?Yes 5.5%
Will government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028?Yes 5.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Plague case in US by December 31?
PM $14.4KPlague case in US by December 31?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Chile rate decision in October
PM $13.9K · K 31.1K contractsWill the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.6%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 1%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
K 92.5K contractsWill Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 425,000 TEUs?Yes 96%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 450,000 TEUs?Yes 89%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 475,000 TEUs?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
K 92.0K contractsWill Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above 28.0¢/kWh?Yes 95.5%
Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above 28.5¢/kWh?Yes 94.5%
Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above 29.0¢/kWh?Yes 87.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in October 2026?
PM $13.7KWill SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $140 in October?Yes 86%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $145 in October?Yes 80.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?Yes 73.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
PM $13.6K · K 5.8K contractsWill the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.89% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.89% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 76%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.86% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.86% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 58%Rules differK Yes 70.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.83% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 62.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Houston vs Jacksonville: Passing Touchdowns
K 91.9K contractsTrevor Lawrence: 2+ passing touchdownsYes 99.5%
C.J. Stroud: 2+ passing touchdownsYes 71.5%
Trevor Lawrence: 3+ passing touchdownsYes 53%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will CPI get this year?
K 91.2K contractsHow high will CPI get this year? (Above 4.2%)Yes 23%
How high will CPI get this year? (Above 4.3%)Yes 22.5%
How high will CPI get this year? (Above 4.5%)Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above __?
PM $12.8KWill Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?Yes 87%
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?Yes 86.3%
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.75B?Yes 35.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
K 91.0K contractsWhen will Anduril IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 18.5%
When will Anduril IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 18%
When will Anduril IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 9.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?
PM $12.8KWill Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?Yes 24.5%
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026
K 90.4K contractsWill RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?Yes 94.5%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?Yes 73.5%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?Yes 14.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $12.4KWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.05T by October 31?Yes 75.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31?Yes 50.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31?Yes 25%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
K 90.2K contractsWill MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.1 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.05 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Bloomberg IPO by...?
PM $12.3KWill Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?Yes 20%
Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December
PM $12.2K · K 16.1K contractsWill the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 70%
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 20.5%
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: 1st Touchdown
K 89.8K contractsKyren Williams: 1st TouchdownYes 16.5%
Puka Nacua: 1st TouchdownYes 14.5%
Davante Adams: 1st TouchdownYes 12.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC