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Showing 241-288 of 2,076 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026
PM $126.2KWill Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will Ali G be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
K 119.3K contractsWill Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 62.5%
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 30.5%
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 3.5%
+65 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?
PM $125.6KWill NewJeans release a song in 2026?Yes 46%
Will Twice release a song in 2026?Yes 38.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
K 119.2K contractsWill Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
PM $124.7KWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Director
K 118.3K contracts2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Christopher Nolan)Yes 95%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Javier Calvo)Yes 92.5%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Nathan Fielder)Yes 72.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PM $123.6KSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 117.6K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 57%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
#2 Spotify Song 2026
PM $120.2KWill "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes 79%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes 19%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the #2 song for 2026?Yes 0.4%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Top Album on Spotify U.S in 2026?
K 117.3K contractsWill I’m The Problem be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 73%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will ARIRANG be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
PM $118.0KWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 1.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 22, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · 3rd Place
K 114.5K contractsWill Amber Glenn finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 23.5%
Will Maura Higgins finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 19.5%
Will Harry Shum Jr. finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
PM $115.4KWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Yes 9.5%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Yes 8.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress
K 113.2K contractsWill Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?Yes 52.5%
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?Yes 30.5%
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?Yes 11.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
PM $114.6KWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 23, 2026?Yes 41%
1 mkt
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
K 112.1K contractsWill OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
PM $114.3KWill Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 59.5%
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 12%
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 7%
+29 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
K 112.1K contractsHow much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 500000 in a single quarter)Yes 52%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 750000 in a single quarter)Yes 2%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 1000000 in a single quarter)Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PM $113.6KWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes 89%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
K 109.0K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Anne Hathaway)Yes 85%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Samantha Morton)Yes 77.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Penélope Cruz)Yes 76.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PM $111.9KRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
OG Anunoby Game-Winning Tip-In Basketball: Sale Price
K 107.6K contractsWill the lot sold price of the 2026 NBA Finals 'The Hand of OG' Game 4 Game Used Basketball | Largest Comeback in NBA Finals History | OG Anunoby Game Winning Tip-In | NBA Finals Record 14 3-Pointers in a Half by on Sotheby's be above $1500000 during the live auction beginning before 2027?Yes 5%
Will the lot sold price of the 2026 NBA Finals 'The Hand of OG' Game 4 Game Used Basketball | Largest Comeback in NBA Finals History | OG Anunoby Game Winning Tip-In | NBA Finals Record 14 3-Pointers in a Half by on Sotheby's be above $500000 during the live auction beginning before 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will the lot sold price of the 2026 NBA Finals 'The Hand of OG' Game 4 Game Used Basketball | Largest Comeback in NBA Finals History | OG Anunoby Game Winning Tip-In | NBA Finals Record 14 3-Pointers in a Half by on Sotheby's be above $4000000 during the live auction beginning before 2027?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $109.7KWill the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 42%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 18.5%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 14%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?
K 106.4K contractsWill any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 54.5%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 35%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
PM $108.7KWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 7%
Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 105.9K contractsWho will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Volkanovski)Yes 51%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Movsar Evloev)Yes 47.5%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Aljamain Sterling)Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
PM $108.1KWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 60.7%
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 18%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 11%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3
K 104.3K contractsWill American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 45%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PM $107.2KWill the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes 25%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes 22.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes 13.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla Roadster delivery
K 104.2K contractsTesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2029)Yes 56.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before July, 2028)Yes 31.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2028)Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $106.5KWill the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 73.2%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Kim Kardashian: Pass the Bar Exam before 2027?
K 99.7K contractsWill Kim Kardashian pass the Bar Exam before 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
PM $104.9KWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Israel rate decision in October
PM $103.4K · K 11.4K contractsWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 92.4%Rules differK Yes 93%
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.7%Rules differK Yes 7.5%
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.2%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 90.5%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 85.5%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 78.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
K 96.4K contractsWill SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketCulture
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
PM $103.4KWill "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes 46%
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes 38.6%
Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes 0.4%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
K 95.7K contractsWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PM $102.1KMicrosoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 13%
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 9.3%
SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 9%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3
K 95.4K contractsWill Carvana Co. report Above 200000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 205000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 210000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
PM $100.1KWill "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 97.2%
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 90.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Ed Sheeran Loop Tour · Number of Dates Cancelled
K 93.4K contractsWill at least 3 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 28.5%
Will at least 4 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 24.5%
Will at least 5 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 6.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
PM $99.7KWill "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?Yes 97%
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?Yes 2.9%
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Yes 1.1%
+3 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
K 92.7K contractsRain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 65%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 9.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Clavicular sentenced to prison by...?
PM $97.5KClavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
MotoGP World Champion
K 92.7K contractsWill Marc Marquez be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 77%
Will Jorge Martin be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 19%
Will Marco Bezzecchi be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 3%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
PM $95.0KWill Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 93.5%
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 88%
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 86%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC