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Will Max Ganorkar receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-04 House election?Yes 96.5%

NC-04 House election: Max Ganorkar vote percent

K 6.2K contracts

Will Max Ganorkar receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-04 House election?Yes 92.5%

Will Max Ganorkar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-04 House election?Yes 75.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?Yes 37%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?Yes 39%

West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

PM $14.3K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 500,000 and 550,000?Yes 34%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 11%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Mississauga mayoral election winner?

Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 46.5%

Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 37%

Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 16.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC

RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 33.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 15.5%

SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia?

Will the margin of victory for SNS-led list in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be at least 3%?Yes 65%

Will the margin of victory for SNS-led list in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be at least 5%?Yes 50.5%

Will the margin of victory for SNS-led list in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be at least 10%?Yes 18%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC

PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%

NM-01 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for NM-01?Yes 96.6%

Will Republican win the House race for NM-01?Yes 2.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 23.6%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%

KalshiEntertainment

Where will Drake perform in 2026?

Will Drake perform at Madison Square Garden 2026?Yes 26%

Will Drake perform at SoFi Stadium 2026?Yes 13.5%

Will Drake perform at Mercedes-Benz Stadium 2026?Yes 13%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Yes 66.5%

Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?Yes 21.3%

Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?Yes 6.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

OK-05 House election: Jena Nelson vote percent

Will Jena Nelson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 94.5%

Will Jena Nelson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 88.5%

Will Jena Nelson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 76.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 89.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?

Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 56%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes 4.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

MD-06 House election: Moshe Landman vote percent

Will Moshe Landman receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 76%

Will Moshe Landman receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 37%

Will Moshe Landman receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 18.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

PRESS PLAY: First Week Streams

Will PRESS PLAY by LISA have above 4000000 streams during the October 23, 2026 - October 29, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97.5%

Will PRESS PLAY by LISA have above 3000000 streams during the October 23, 2026 - October 29, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97.5%

Will PRESS PLAY by LISA have above 2000000 streams during the October 23, 2026 - October 29, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Chile rate decision in October

PM $14.1K · K 31.4K contracts

Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.8%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Florida State House winner?

Who will win the Florida House of Representatives? (Republican party)Yes 92.5%

Who will win the Florida House of Representatives? (Democratic party)Yes 6.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Arkansas Governor election: Fredrick Love vote percent

Will Fredrick Love receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Fredrick Love receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%

Will Fredrick Love receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 93.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 43.5%

Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 42.5%

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 20.6%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

When will Serbia call its presidential election?

Will Serbia call its presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 90%

Will Serbia call its presidential election before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 24%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketCulture

Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?

Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?Yes 2.3%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 18, 2026 UTC

When will France announce a snap election?

Will France announce a snap election before Jan 2, 2027?Yes 8.1%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%

New York's 1st District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 83.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 77%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 65.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.3%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Trump impose capital controls?

K 6.0K contracts

Will Trump impose capital controls before 2029?Yes 19.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15.3%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

CMA Awards: Entertainer of the Year

PM $14.0K · K 8.9K contracts

Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Kalshi: Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73.5%Rules differK Yes 76%

Will Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Kalshi: Will Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21.3%Rules differK Yes 11%

Will Luke Combs win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Kalshi: Will Luke Combs win Entertainer of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.9%Rules differK Yes 6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC