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Showing 385-432 of 2,496 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
US meets its climate goals?
K 63.5K contractsWill the US meet its climate goals? (By 2030)Yes 17.9%
Will the US meet its climate goals? (By 2025)Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PM $20.6KMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US share of global GDP in 2026
K 63.3K contractsWill U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.2%?Yes 98.5%
Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.1%?Yes 98.5%
Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.4%?Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18?
PM $20.6KWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 18?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 18?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 18?Yes 20.5%
+8 more
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
PM $20.3K · K 4.2K contractsWill the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 73.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 73.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.35% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 47%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
K 62.6K contractsWill rates hit zero in 2026?Yes 3.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?
K 62.4K contractsWill Omar be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Josephine be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 34%
Will Rene be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 30%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $19.0KWill Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 50%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes 40%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 9.4%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Hanna category?
K 62.1K contractsWill Hanna become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Hanna become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Hanna become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
3rd largest private company end of October?
PM $18.5KWill ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 98.4%
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 1.1%
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 1.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?
K 61.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >87° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $18.4KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?Yes 26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
K 61.3K contractsMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Yes 42.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
PM $18.4KAnthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?Yes 76.8%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Yes 66.5%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 33%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 60.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 34%
Will the maximum temperature be >61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?
PM $18.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiEconomics
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
K 60.2K contractsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 22, 2027?Yes 70%
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Mar 15, 2027?Yes 66.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
PM $18.1KWill the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Yes 41.3%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Yes 29.5%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?Yes 14.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon Credit Card Spend in October
K 59.6K contractsWill Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 103 ?Yes 74.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?Yes 69.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?
PM $18.0KWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes 55%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 44%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 40.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
K 59.5K contractsWill **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q4 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026?Yes 79%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
PM $17.8KMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes 1.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
K 59.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 98%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 97%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 18?
PM $17.8KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 18?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 18?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 18?Yes 14.5%
+8 more
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
K 57.8K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 58%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jun 16, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 19?
PM $17.8KWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Lemonade total customers in Q3
K 57.6K contractsWill Lemonade Inc. report Above 3.44 million total customers in Q3 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will Lemonade Inc. report Above 3.46 million total customers in Q3 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Lemonade Inc. report Above 3.48 million total customers in Q3 2026?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PM $17.7KWill OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
K 57.2K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 66.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 22.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
PM $17.7KWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by March 31, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
K 57.0K contractsWhen will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Oct 1, 2027)Yes 89.5%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 82%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jul 1, 2027)Yes 81%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 18?
PM $17.5KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 18?Yes 99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 18?Yes 0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 18?Yes 0.1%
+8 more
KalshiEconomics
Connecticut gas prices tomorrow
K 56.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3350?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3300?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3250?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 19?
PM $17.3KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 19?Yes 70.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?Yes 16.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
K 56.8K contractsWill the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?Yes 86%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?Yes 73.5%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Sep 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?
PM $17.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 16?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 16?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
European Central Bank rate decision in October
K 56.7K contractsWill the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 95.5%
Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 4%
Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
US Tornadoes in October 2026
PM $17.1KWill there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 79%
Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 14%
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
K 56.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96%
+22 moreNext deadline Mar 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?
PM $16.7KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
K 55.0K contractsWill the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.74 on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 85%
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.99 on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 74%
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.09 on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
PM $16.6KCopper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?Yes 43%
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will DXY get in 2026?
K 54.9K contractsWill the price of the USDX be above 101.75 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the price of the USDX be above 102 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 99%
Will the price of the USDX be above 103 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 69.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PM $16.5KWill OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of November 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Yes 22.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027
K 53.9K contractsWill timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 160 million board feet?Yes 96.5%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 180 million board feet?Yes 85%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 200 million board feet?Yes 44.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PM $16.4KWill Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 27%
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in December
K 53.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in December 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in December 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in December 2026?Yes 35%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in October 2026?
PM $16.2KWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in October?Yes 68%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 in October?Yes 54%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 in October?Yes 21.1%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC