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Showing 1-48 of 319 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?
PM $187.0K · K 29.8K contractsWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
K 2.09M contractsWho will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)Yes 71%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Discord)Yes 10.5%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Skims)Yes 6.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Russia rate decision in October
PM $95.9K · K 3.4K contractsWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia maintain current rate at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 91%Rules differK Yes 91%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia cut 1-25bps at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia hike 1-25bps at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
K 1.51M contractsWill it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?
K 1.27M contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Ford)Yes 99.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 99.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff (3+ times))Yes 99.5%
+36 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $91.6KWill Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?Yes 30.5%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes 30.3%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 24%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
PM $89.6K · K 41.1K contractsWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 82.5%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.7%Rules differK Yes 15.5%
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Citigroup serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
K 1.26M contractsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November
PM $68.8K · K 37.7K contractsNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 74%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 20.1%Rules differK Yes 19%
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
K 1.16M contractsWhich AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 15.5%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?
PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contractsWill OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
K 1.10M contractsWill any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 31%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 24%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
K 510.6K contractsWhen will OpenAI IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 52%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 46%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 29.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
K 420.5K contractsWill Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?Yes 93%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
PM $13.6KWill Trump say "Third Term" this week?Yes 47%
Will Trump say "Khomeini" or "Khamenei" this week?Yes 43%
Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" this week?Yes 22%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?
PM $12.0K · K 3.6K contractsWill Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Starbucks announce acquisition of Chipotle before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
K 376.3K contractsWill Boeing Company (The) report Above 560 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 580 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 600 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?Yes 93.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
K 242.0K contractsWhen will Starlink IPO? (Before Jun 30, 2027)Yes 5.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What will Trump say in October?
PM $11.1KWill Trump say "Weave" in October?Yes 60%
Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?Yes 56.5%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?Yes 43.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Robinhood funded customers in 2026
K 218.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 98%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.2 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What companies will Trump mention in October?
PM $10.8KWill Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?Yes 52%
Will Trump say "Qualcomm" in October?Yes 52%
Will Trump say "Ferrari" in October?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
K 191.8K contractsWhich company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Amazon)Yes 13%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Netflix)Yes 9%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Disney)Yes 4.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What foods will Trump mention in October?
PM $5.6KWill Trump say "Burger" in October?Yes 54%
Will Trump say "Cake" in October?Yes 53%
Will Trump say "Chicken" in October?Yes 51.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCompanies
Which companies will be acquired this year?
PM $4.9K · K 102.4K contractsOpenAI acquired before 2027?
Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
K 181.3K contractsWill quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?Yes 32.6%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will any company achieve AGI?
K 180.2K contractsWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 81.5%
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 77.5%
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
PM $2.5KWill Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?Yes 93%
Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?Yes 81%
Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Conference?Yes 75.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
American Express cards-in-force in Q3
K 179.7K contractsWill American Express Company report Above 154.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 13, 2027 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18)
PM $1.1KWill Trump post "Fool" on Truth Social this week?Yes 46%
Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?Yes 36%
Will Trump post "Sanction" on Truth Social this week?Yes 36%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
K 167.5K contractsWill Tesla Inc report above 0 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 83%
Will Tesla Inc report above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will Tesla Inc report above 5000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25)
PM $441.38Will Trump say "Genius" or "Elon" or "Musk" this week?Yes 96%
Will Trump say "Brother" or "Sister" this week?Yes 78%
Will Trump say "Apple" this week?Yes 75%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say this week?
K 145.7K contractsWill Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 32%
Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 14.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25)
PM $247.36Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?Yes 80%
Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?Yes 73.5%
Will Trump post "Scam" or "Scum" on Truth Social this week?Yes 55.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?
PM $10.79 · K 10.7K contractsDario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?
Kalshi: Will the CEO of Anthropic leave in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.7%Rules differK Yes 4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026
K 131.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $50 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $55 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $60 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 61.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
K 126.7K contractsWill Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?
K 126.2K contractsWill Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7%
Will JPMorgan Chase take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
K 125.4K contractsWill Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
K 116.1K contractsWill OpenAI change its CEO?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne?
K 107.1K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tax Break)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Social Security)Yes 99.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
K 106.9K contractsWill a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 41%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 40%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 24%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Who will be the next CEO of X?
K 103.1K contractsWho will be the next CEO of X? (Elon Musk)Yes 8.5%
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Nikita Bier)Yes 3%
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Mahmoud Reza Banki)Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa?
K 102.9K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (5+ times))Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tax Break)Yes 99.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3
K 93.5K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56.5 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 57 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 71.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
K 92.9K contractsMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
K 91.0K contractsWhen will Anduril IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 18.5%
When will Anduril IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 18%
When will Anduril IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 9.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starbucks total global stores in 2026
K 89.6K contractsWill Starbucks Corporation report Above 41300 total global stores in 2026?Yes 94%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41400 total global stores in 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41500 total global stores in 2026?Yes 72.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC