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Showing 481-528 of 2,595 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
K 62.6K contractsWill rates hit zero in 2026?Yes 3.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
PM $58.2KWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes 48%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Yes 43.8%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
K 61.6K contractsWill a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?Yes 59.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
PM $56.8KTariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
K 61.3K contractsMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Yes 42.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PM $56.3KWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 48.5%
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 38%
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 0.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Basketball Players Traded
K 61.3K contractsWill Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 49%
+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
PM $55.5KWill Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes 33.5%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Yes 32%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
K 60.5K contractsWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 17%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
PM $55.4KWill there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 18, 2026?Yes 1.6%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 19, 2026?Yes 1.6%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.4K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 8%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $54.5KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 42.5%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 24.3%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Time's Person of the Decade
K 60.4K contractsWho will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)Yes 39%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Elon Musk)Yes 29%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Taylor Swift)Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2030 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?
PM $53.1KWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 87%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 81.5%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 58.4%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
K 60.2K contractsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 22, 2027?Yes 70%
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Mar 15, 2027?Yes 66.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
PM $52.6KSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?
K 59.9K contractsAI regulation by 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
PM $52.5KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 80%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 4%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon Credit Card Spend in October
K 59.7K contractsWill Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 103 ?Yes 74.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?Yes 69.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Deepseek IPO by...?
PM $52.5KWill DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 67.3%
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Yes 60.5%
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 31.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
K 59.5K contractsWill **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q4 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026?Yes 79%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
PM $52.4KWill the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes 58.5%
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes 9%
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes 9%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
K 59.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 98%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 97%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
PM $51.6KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?Yes 4.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Total Bases
K 59.2K contractsYandy Díaz: 2+ total bases?Yes 41.5%
Junior Caminero: 2+ total bases?Yes 39.5%
Jonathan Aranda: 2+ total bases?Yes 36%
+60 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
PM $51.1KWill USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes 27.2%
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes 27%
Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes 26.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 58.8K contractsWill October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 28.5%
Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
PM $51.0KWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $52 in October?Yes 79%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 in October?Yes 76.5%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $44 in October?Yes 38.2%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
K 58.6K contractsWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 61%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
PM $50.0KNo change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
K 57.8K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 58%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jun 16, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
PM $49.6KWill Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
K 57.2K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 68.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 23%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd richest person on December 31?
PM $48.3KWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 57%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 38.7%
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 23.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
K 57.2K contractsWhen will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Oct 1, 2027)Yes 89.5%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 82%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jul 1, 2027)Yes 81%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
PM $48.1KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Yes 40.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?Yes 26%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Yes 25%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.1K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PM $47.8KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 79%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 13%
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 12.1%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
European Central Bank rate decision in October
K 56.9K contractsWill the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 95.5%
Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 4%
Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PM $47.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 85%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.8%
Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
K 56.8K contractsWill the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?Yes 86%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?Yes 73.5%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Sep 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $47.0KWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes 76.4%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?Yes 10%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?Yes 7.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
K 56.7K contractsWill Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $46.6KWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 55.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 26.5%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 9.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
K 56.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96%
+22 moreNext deadline Mar 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
PM $45.8KWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers
K 56.0K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 10Yes 84%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 10Yes 76%
Cup Series: Austin Cindric to finish in the top 10Yes 72%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $45.4KWill SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?Yes 95%
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.4%
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC