Politics prediction markets
6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 721-768 of 6,945 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
K 49.7K contractsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)Yes 61%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)Yes 58.5%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States)Yes 34.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
PM $157.4KWill Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Yes 34.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
PM $157.2K · K 25.5K contractsNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 81%
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 71%Rules differK Yes 81%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 17%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?
K 49.3K contractsWill Any Court rule that the 2024 USA Federal Election was Fraudulent?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
K 49.2K contractsWill Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 63%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 61%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 56%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
PM $154.8KWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Yes 2.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Attorney General winner?
K 49.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Arkansas?Yes 98%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Arkansas?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?
PM $152.9KWill Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
K 48.9K contractsWill Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 85%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
PM $152.2KWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Iran hold a presidential election?
K 48.9K contractsWill Iran hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
PM $151.1KWill Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?
K 48.8K contractsWill Remain receive at least 60% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 96.5%
Will Remain receive at least 65% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 90.5%
Will Remain receive at least 70% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 74.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
PM $150.9KWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Yes 29.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-04 House winner?
K 48.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for KY-04?Yes 94.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-04?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia coup attempt by...?
PM $150.2KRussia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Yes 17%
Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?
K 48.6K contractsWill Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 40%
Will Trump make 1 trip to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?
PM $148.7KWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Yes 71.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Toronto mayoral election winner?
K 48.6K contractsWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 75%
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 27%
Will Chris Alexander win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
PM $146.3KWill Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
K 48.5K contractsWill the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 85%
Will the US fall below 7.50 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 64%
Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 38.5%
+1 moreNext deadline May 17, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
PM $146.1KWill Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 54.5%
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 45.1%
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 1.9%
+2 more
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?
K 48.4K contractsWill the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 94.5%
Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 6.5%
Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?
PM $145.8KTrump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
K 48.3K contractsWhere will Trump and Putin next meet? (China)Yes 81.5%
Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur? (Alaska)Yes 7.5%
Where will Trump and Putin next meet? (Germany)Yes 5.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?
PM $145.3KWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 47.6K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 9500000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10000000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10500000?Yes 89%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
PM $144.7KWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
K 47.6K contractsWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84.5%
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
PM $144.6KHouthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?
PM $143.8K · K 4.6K contractsWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 51.5%Rules differK Yes 43.5%
Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 43.5%
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 42.5%Rules differK Yes 43.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
K 47.5K contractsWill Rahm Emanuel be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 31%
Will Ro Khanna be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 15%
Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 12%
+30 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
K 47.4K contractsWill Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
PM $143.6KWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
K 47.2K contractsWho will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Alexi Giannoulias)Yes 68.5%
Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Brandon Johnson)Yes 12.6%
Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Paul Vallas)Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 23, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
PM $143.3KMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes 50.5%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Yes 25%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
K 47.0K contractsWill Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 47.5%
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 26%
Will Donald Trump endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
PM $143.2KMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
K 46.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 31%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 27.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Prabowo Subianto out as President of Indonesia by...?
PM $143.1KWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?Yes 7.5%
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lisa Cook departure announced?
K 46.8K contractsLisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2029?Yes 25.5%
Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jul 2028?Yes 20.5%
Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2028?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
PM $142.5KWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 3500+ Passing Yards Season
K 46.8K contractsWill Bryce Young record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 77.5%
Will Joe Burrow record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 73.5%
Will Dak Prescott record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 72.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
PM $142.3KWill there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 60.9%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 34.4%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 2.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film
K 46.3K contracts2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (NAZA)Yes 84%
2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (You Can See Everything)Yes 77%
2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Once Upon a Time in Harlem)Yes 75.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-28 House Election Winner
PM $142.3KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine Governor-Senate combo
K 46.2K contractsWill Maine Governor winner be Democratic party and Maine Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 55.5%
Will Maine Governor winner be Democratic party and Maine Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 39.5%
Will Maine Governor winner be Republican party and Maine Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
PM $141.8KJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC