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Showing 1,297-1,344 of 1,706 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
K 3.9K contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 73%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 69%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 64.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3
K 3.8K contractsSouth Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)Yes 95.5%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)Yes 91.5%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)Yes 47.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New York City rent increase in 2026
K 3.8K contractsWill New York City rent grow above 0% in December 2026?Yes 96%
Will New York City rent grow above 1% in December 2026?Yes 95%
Will New York City rent grow above 2% in December 2026?Yes 93.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?
K 3.8K contractsWill New York’s annual-average employment in Financial Investments and Related Activities Including Financial Vehicles for 2026 be above 230,400 jobs?Yes 86.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030
K 3.8K contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 0.5%?Yes 86%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 2.0%?Yes 74.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 5.0%?Yes 55.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2031 UTC
KalshiEconomics
ADP employment change in Oct 2026?
K 3.8K contractsADP employment change in Oct 2026? (Above -25000)Yes 97%
ADP employment change in Oct 2026? (Above 0)Yes 80%
ADP employment change in Oct 2026? (Above 50000)Yes 76%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026
K 3.8K contractsWill Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9900 deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9800 deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9700 deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
K 3.8K contractsWill the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 67%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 63.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
K 3.7K contractsWill it be confirmed that Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 55.5%
Will it be confirmed that ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 26%
Will it be confirmed that ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 13%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2029
K 3.7K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.00%?Yes 79%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.25%?Yes 76%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.75%?Yes 74%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiFinancials
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
K 3.6K contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7659.41 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 73.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
European Central Bank rate decision in December
K 3.6K contractsWill the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 80%
Will the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 16%
Will the European Central Bank Hike more than 25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will Silver Lake acquire Workday this year?
K 3.6K contractsWill Silver Lake announce acquisition of Workday before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 42.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CoreWeave data centers in fiscal 2026
K 3.6K contractsWill CoreWeave, Inc. report Above 62 data centers in fiscal 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will CoreWeave, Inc. report Above 64 data centers in fiscal 2026?Yes 63%
Will CoreWeave, Inc. report Above 66 data centers in fiscal 2026?Yes 49%
+3 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026
K 3.6K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above 225 million seats flown in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 227 million seats flown in 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 229 million seats flown in 2026?Yes 51%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026
K 3.6K contractsWill Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 3,500 and 3,999.99?Yes 30.5%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be below 1,500?Yes 14.5%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be at least 5,000?Yes 12.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?
K 3.6K contractsWill Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?
K 3.5K contractsWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call? (Membership)Yes 92%
What will Costco say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)Yes 92%
What will Costco say during their next earnings call? (Renewal)Yes 89.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
K 3.5K contractsWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 42%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 35%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Passing Touchdowns
K 3.5K contractsBrock Purdy: 1+ passing touchdownsYes 94%
Jayden Daniels: 1+ passing touchdownsYes 79%
Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdownsYes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026
K 3.5K contractsWill Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.8 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.6 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 11 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 94%
+5 moreNext deadline May 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Mexico unemployment rate in September
K 3.4K contractsMexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.6%)Yes 95.5%
Mexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.7%)Yes 90.5%
Mexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.8%)Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026
K 3.4K contractsWill Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 51%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?Yes 37.5%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?Yes 32.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 3.4K contractsWill the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 85.5%
Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4?
K 3.4K contractsWill Twilio be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 98%
Will Cheniere Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will Astera Labs be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 24%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?
K 3.4K contractsWhen will Cluely officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 3.5%
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Yes 3%
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?
K 3.4K contractsWill the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Argentina inflation rate MoM for October
K 3.4K contractsWill the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 99.5%
Will the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.2%?Yes 96%
Will the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.4%?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Chipotle Credit Card Spend in October
K 3.4K contractsWill Chipotle Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 80 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Chipotle Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 88 ?Yes 97%
Will Chipotle Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 84 ?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?
K 3.3K contractsWho will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? (John Waldron)Yes 73%
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)Yes 3%
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2035 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031
K 3.3K contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 0.0%?Yes 88.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 3.5%?Yes 67.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 2.5%?Yes 51.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2032 UTC
KalshiElections
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
K 3.3K contractsWill Fireworks Initiative pass?Yes 53.5%
Will War Materiel Act amendment pass?Yes 43.5%
Will AHV VAT financing pass?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2033
K 3.3K contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 56.00%?Yes 96%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 56.50%?Yes 95%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 57.00%?Yes 94%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 13, 2034 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3
K 3.2K contractsWill Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above -1% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 0% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 2026?Yes 82%
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 1% comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 2026?Yes 57%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Perplexity officially announce an IPO?
K 3.2K contractsWhen will Perplexity officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 57.5%
When will Perplexity officially announce an IPO? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 38.5%
When will Perplexity officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 18.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
K 3.2K contractsWill Cillian Murphy perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 24.5%
Will Idris Elba perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 19.5%
Will Barry Keoghan perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1A be completed before fall 2027?
K 3.2K contractsWill Netflix complete Phase 1A of Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth before Sep 23, 2027?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel?
K 3.2K contractsWill Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next Fed rate cut?
K 3.1K contractsWill the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2028?Yes 88%
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by June 30, 2028?Yes 67.5%
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2027?Yes 47.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P 2027 year end price range
K 3.1K contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 12.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8600 and 8799.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 9.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 6%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US student loan debt at end of 2026
K 3.1K contractsWill total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.82T?Yes 96.5%
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.84T?Yes 95%
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.86T?Yes 91%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US private data center construction spending in September
K 3.0K contractsWill U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?Yes 97.5%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?Yes 93.5%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?Yes 93%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October
K 3.0K contractsWill the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 97%
Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 3.5%
Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Turkey rate decision in October
K 3.0K contractsWill the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye cut 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 49.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye hike 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027
K 3.0K contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.0%?Yes 96%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.5%?Yes 94.5%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.0%?Yes 85%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)
K 3.0K contractsCPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 2.9%)Yes 26%
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 2.8%)Yes 19%
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 3.0%)Yes 13%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed median dot plot in December 2026
K 2.9K contractsWhat will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.5%)Yes 97.5%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.7%)Yes 97%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.6%)Yes 97%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026
K 2.8K contractsWill Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.5 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 97%
Will Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.6 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 94%
Will Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.7 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 87%
+8 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC