Browse prediction markets

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Animated Feature

Will Toy Story 5 be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89.5%

Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 86%

Will Hoppers be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91.5%

Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89.5%

Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-10 House seat?Yes 95%

CA-10 House Election Winner

PM $28.5K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat?Yes 5%

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 1.7%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes 95.9%

MA-09 House Election Winner

PM $28.4K

Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes 3.1%

California State Senate District 26 election winner

Who will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Sara Hernandez)Yes 84%

Who will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Sarah Rascón)Yes 14%

Who will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Wendy Carrillo)Yes 1%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Yes 95.7%

2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner

PM $28.4K

Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Yes 3.7%

KalshiWorld

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%

Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%

Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 6%

3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 28.7%

NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $28.3K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.9%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

PM $28.3K · K 407.5K contracts

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?

Related contracts

PM Yes 51%Rules differK Yes 49.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Kelowna mayoral election winner?

Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 95.5%

Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 24.5%

Will Tracy Gray win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 0.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%

Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 86.5%

Will Javier Bardem be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-04 House seat?Yes 96.5%

MN-04 House Election Winner

PM $28.2K

Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?Yes 3.6%

Billie Eilish Streams in 2026

Will Billie Eilish have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%

Will Billie Eilish have 9250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%

Will Billie Eilish have 9750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?

PM $28.2K

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?Yes 45%

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Yes 24.9%

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?Yes 13%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC

Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?

Will Republicans receive above 6% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 90%

Will Republicans receive above 8% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 71.5%

Will Republicans receive above 9% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 50%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-07 House seat?Yes 97.5%

CO-07 House Election Winner

PM $28.0K

Will the Republican Party win the CO-07 House seat?Yes 2.9%

Arizona's 9th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 88.3%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 80%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 67%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-02 House seat?Yes 98.9%

NC-02 House Election Winner

PM $28.0K

Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?Yes 1.2%

KalshiEconomics

U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?

Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?Yes 32.3%

1 mktNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-08 House seat?Yes 97.2%

MD-08 House Election Winner

PM $28.0K

Will the Republican Party win the MD-08 House seat?Yes 2.9%

PM $28.0K · K 146.1K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-22 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-22?

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 90.1%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-22?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 9.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Florida Governor margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 7.8%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 3.9%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Texas State House winner?

Who will win the Texas House of Representatives? (Republican party)Yes 81.5%

Who will win the Texas House of Representatives? (Democratic party)Yes 17.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.3%

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $27.9K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.2%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Oregon Senate winner?

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Oregon?Yes 98.5%

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Oregon?Yes 1.7%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat?Yes 97.3%

MA-08 House Election Winner

PM $27.9K

Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat?Yes 1.8%

When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?

Will legislation that requires the Social Security Advisory Board to develop legislative recommendations to achieve at least 50 years of Social Security Trust Fund solvency and establishes expedited congressional procedures for consideration of those recommendations passed the Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 30%

Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 21.6%

Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 21.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%

Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)

K 13.3K contracts

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 90%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

FL-21 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes 92.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes 8.2%

Who will win the next Malaysian general election? (BN-anchored coalition)Yes 39.5%

Malaysian general election winner?

K 13.3K contracts

Who will win the next Malaysian general election? (PH-anchored coalition)Yes 37%

Who will win the next Malaysian general election? (PN-anchored coalition)Yes 22%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2028 UTC

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 93%

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 3.6%

Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 1.9%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?

What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (New York)Yes 74.5%

What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (Illinois)Yes 74.5%

What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (Indiana)Yes 65%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC

Maynas Mayoral Election Winner

Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Yes 90.3%

Will Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Yes 4.2%

Will Ernesto Concha La Torre win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Yes 3.8%

+16 more

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 45%

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Yes 87.9%

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

PM $27.6K

Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Yes 12.8%

Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Yes 4.5%

+17 more

Prince George mayoral election winner?

Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes 97.5%

Will Kyle Sampson win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes 12%

Will Marc Carrier win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes 7.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?Yes 96.2%

OR-01 House Election Winner

PM $27.6K

Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?Yes 2.6%

KalshiWorld

Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Mexico reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 36.5%

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Canada reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 28%

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, an agreement in principle establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA while preserving it as a trilateral agreement, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.5%

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $27.5K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15.6%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Roblox hours engaged in fiscal 2026

Will Roblox Corporation report Above 120 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026?Yes 69%

Will Roblox Corporation report Above 125 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026?Yes 58%

Will Roblox Corporation report Above 130 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026?Yes 46.5%

+7 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC