Browse prediction markets

Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 96.5%

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 96.5%

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 95%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?Yes 38%

Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

PM $23.2K

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Yes 37%

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Yes 17.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

Will the number of Republican governors be at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 88%

Will the number of Republican governors be at least 22 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 75%

Will the number of Republican governors be at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 58.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?Yes 8.5%

Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?

Will legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%

South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?Yes 28.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 19%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 16.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Navajo Nation presidential election winner?

Will Justin Jones win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 58.5%

Will Crystalyne Curley win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 39.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PA-09 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?Yes 95.1%

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-09 House seat?Yes 4.9%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $23.1K · K 11.2K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-41?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.4%Rules differK Yes 95%

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-41 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-41?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.2%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-41 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-41?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.2%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?Yes 52%

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?Yes 45.5%

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?Yes 12.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

VA-04 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for VA-04?Yes 98%

Will Republican win the House race for VA-04?Yes 1.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Prešov Mayoral Election Winner

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes 84.5%

Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes 8.4%

Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes 4.1%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-27 House winner?

PM $23.0K · K 7.7K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-27?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 95.8%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-27?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won

Will PL hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 95%

Will PSD hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3.5%

Will MDB hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3%

+5 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC

KalshiHealth

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?

Will the CDC end its recommendation for the COVID-19 vaccine?Yes 13.5%

Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Influenza vaccine?Yes 9%

Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Hepatitis B vaccine?Yes 5.6%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?Yes 30.9%

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

PM $23.0K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,275,000 and 1,350,000?Yes 23.6%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000?Yes 20.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in April 2027

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $12.00 in April 2027?Yes 50%

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $11.50 in April 2027?Yes 50%

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $11.00 in April 2027?Yes 50%

+16 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Yes 1.7%

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

PM $23.0K

Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?

Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 33%

Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 30.5%

Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 12%

+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 16%

Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $22.9K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 50% or more?Yes 15%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 15%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 87%

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 86%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

PolymarketTech

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

PM $22.9K

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Yes 7.5%