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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 241-288 of 1,718 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
K 112.0K contractsHow much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 500000 in a single quarter)Yes 53.5%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 750000 in a single quarter)Yes 4%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 1000000 in a single quarter)Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PM $134.7KWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
K 108.4K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Anne Hathaway)Yes 88%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Penélope Cruz)Yes 78.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Samantha Morton)Yes 77.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI public model released by…?
PM $134.3KSSI public model released by December 31, 2026?Yes 37%
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Yes 33.5%
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes 9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?
K 106.4K contractsWill any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 54.5%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 35%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12.3%Rules differK Yes 6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 105.9K contractsWho will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Volkanovski)Yes 51%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Movsar Evloev)Yes 47.5%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Aljamain Sterling)Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PM $127.2KWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Baltimore vs Cleveland: Receptions
K 104.9K contractsJerry Jeudy: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Derrick Henry: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Ja'Kobi Lane: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+86 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?
PM $126.3KWill Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 30.9%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 26.2%
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 9.8%
+42 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3
K 104.3K contractsWill American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 45%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PM $123.8KWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla Roadster delivery
K 104.2K contractsTesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2029)Yes 55.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before July, 2028)Yes 31%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2028)Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PM $123.6KSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
PM $122.4KWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes 73.5%
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
K 96.4K contractsWill SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
PM $120.4KWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
K 95.7K contractsWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?
PM $118.0KWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?Yes 3.5%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by October 31?Yes 0.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3
K 95.4K contractsWill Carvana Co. report Above 200000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 205000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 210000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
PM $118.0KWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 1.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026?Yes 1.1%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Rhode Island commercial quahog landings in 2026
K 94.2K contractsWill Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 190,000 meat pounds?Yes 93.5%
Will Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 220,000 meat pounds?Yes 78.5%
Will Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 250,000 meat pounds?Yes 61.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Spain General Election Winner
PM $117.2KWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 84.5%
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
MotoGP World Champion
K 92.6K contractsWill Marc Marquez be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 75.5%
Will Jorge Martin be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 20%
Will Marco Bezzecchi be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 3%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
PM $114.5KWill there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes 96%
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?Yes 1.8%
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?Yes 0.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
K 92.5K contractsRain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 66%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 10.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
PM $114.3KWill Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 59.5%
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 11.6%
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 7%
+29 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
K 92.5K contractsWill Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 425,000 TEUs?Yes 96%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 450,000 TEUs?Yes 89%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 475,000 TEUs?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
PM $113.8KWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Yes 9.5%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Yes 8.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
K 90.3K contractsWill a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PM $113.6KWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes 89.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
K 89.0K contractsWill the Secretary of State visit India before 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Uzbekistan before 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?Yes 27.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
PM $113.4KXi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
K 86.9K contractsWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PM $112.4KWill there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Yes 50.5%
Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 13.5%
Will Boris Pistorius be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 4.6%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
K 86.6K contractsWill the United States add another state before date?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketScience
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PM $111.8KRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Baltimore vs Cleveland: Passing Yards
K 85.8K contractsTyler Huntley: 100+ passing yardsYes 89.5%
Tyler Huntley: 125+ passing yardsYes 82%
Deshaun Watson: 125+ passing yardsYes 76.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $109.7KWill the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 42%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 18%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 14%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
K 80.7K contractsWill Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
PM $108.7KWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 6.8%
Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.4%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
K 80.4K contractsWill the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?Yes 40.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?Yes 14%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?Yes 10.3%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
PM $108.1KWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 60.7%
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 18%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 11%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
KPop Demon Hunters 2: Released this year?
K 79.9K contractsWill Sony Pictures Animation release KPop Demon Hunters 2 to the public before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PM $107.2KWill the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes 24.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes 23.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes 14.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Rushing Yards
K 79.3K contractsTyler Allgeier: 10+ rushing yardsYes 96.5%
Tyler Allgeier: 15+ rushing yardsYes 94%
Tyler Allgeier: 20+ rushing yardsYes 87.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $106.5KWill the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 77.9%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC