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Showing 3,169-3,216 of 7,164 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
K 5.7K contractsWill the Federal Trade Commission announce opening an investigation into the acquisition, scanning and destruction of books by artificial intelligence companies for use in training AI models before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?
PM $14.6KWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 4th District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 63.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
K 5.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SD-AL House winner?
K 5.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for SD-AL?Yes 96%
Will Democratic win the House race for SD-AL?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which party wins young men?
K 5.6K contractsWill Democrats win young men (18-29) in the exit poll?Yes 85%
Will Republicans win young men (18-29) in the exit poll?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 17.5%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 8.5%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-13 House winner?
K 5.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-13?Yes 87%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-13?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 15.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CT-05 House election: Jahana Hayes vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Jahana Hayes receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jahana Hayes receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 94%
Will Jahana Hayes receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 5.6K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 240000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 250000?Yes 86%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 260000?Yes 79%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 1st District margin of victory
K 5.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 94.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Plzeň
PM $14.5KWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 96.9%
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.8%
Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.5%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Amy Klobuchar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 90%
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 71%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-17 House winner?
K 5.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-17?Yes 95%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-17?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?
PM $14.5KWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?Yes 93%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?Yes 79%
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?Yes 62.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor election: Ned Lamont vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Ned Lamont receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ned Lamont receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Ned Lamont receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 43%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 16.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 21st District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 25.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24)
K 5.5K contractsWill there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 79%
Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 66%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 23, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 15.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
K 5.5K contractsWho will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (No other person)Yes 58%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (Robert O'Brien)Yes 14.5%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (Ric Grenell)Yes 8.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.4KWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Editing
K 5.5K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95.5%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 76%
Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 73%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Uppsala?
PM $14.4KWill Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 96.8%
Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 2.3%
Will Christer Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 0.8%
+9 more
KalshiPolitics
WA-08 House winner?
K 5.5K contractsWill a Democrat win the House race for WA-08?Yes 96.9%
Will a Republican win the House race for WA-08?Yes 1.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 22.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Idaho Senate election: Natalie Fleming vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Natalie Fleming receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 83%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 60%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 44.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?
PM $14.4KWill Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 72%
Will Democrats win 11 or more House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 17.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 95.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 93.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 88.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 19.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $14.4KWill Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 87%
Will Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Governor election: Jermaine Johnson vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Jermaine Johnson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jermaine Johnson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jermaine Johnson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 78.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 30.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 11%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
French presidential election: who will advance?
K 5.5K contractsWill Marine Le Pen qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 91.5%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 44%
Will Édouard Philippe qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 43.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey 07 House General Election: voter turnout
K 5.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 96%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC