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Showing 3,457-3,504 of 8,367 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 69%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 31.5%
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.8%
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Trump's next address to the nation be?
K 6.9K contractsWill it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 89%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 81%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Delta, BC mayoral election winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 75.5%
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 27%
Will George V. Harvie win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 43%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NM-01 House election: Didi Okpareke vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Didi Okpareke receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 95%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 84.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PM $15.1KWill total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?Yes 37.5%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?Yes 19.9%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?Yes 15.7%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

SC-04 House election: Jessica Ethridge vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Jessica Ethridge receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 78%
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 41.5%
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 23%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
PM $15.1K0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VT-AL House winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for VT-AL?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for VT-AL?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?Yes 24.5%
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?Yes 21.5%
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?Yes 14%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Hawaii Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 6.9K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 310000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 330000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 350000?Yes 83%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $15.1KWill Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 27.1%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 11%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MN-08 House election: Trina Swanson vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Trina Swanson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 88%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 19%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 13.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
PM $15.1KWill there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 60%
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 57%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Josh Turek receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 86.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nevada's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout
PM $15.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 33.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,450,000 and 2,600,000?Yes 25.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-08 House winner?
K 6.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-08?Yes 94.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-08?Yes 5.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 28.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?
K 6.8K contractsWill Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
K 6.8K contractsWill Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 69%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 54%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 3.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho Senate Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?Yes 38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?Yes 23%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?Yes 19.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 98%
Will James Talarico receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 94%
Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
PM $15.0KWill Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?Yes 85.7%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?Yes 57.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana governor winner? (2027)
K 6.8K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 89.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 12, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
PM $15.0K · K 339.4K contractsWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 9.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill the People's Party receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 93.5%
Will the People's Party receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 79%
Will the People's Party receive at least 31% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Russia Nominal GDP in 2026
K 6.8K contractsRussia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.3 trillion)Yes 97.6%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.2 trillion)Yes 96.8%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.4 trillion)Yes 94.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout
PM $14.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?Yes 36%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be 350,000 or more?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CO-01 House election: Shimon Blau vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Shimon Blau receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 94%
Will Shimon Blau receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 64.5%
Will Shimon Blau receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 40.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.9KWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC