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Showing 433-480 of 2,169 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
K 44.5K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 18?
PM $27.0KWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
K 43.8K contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.74% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 70%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 69.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 18?
PM $26.9KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2028?
K 43.6K contractsGDP growth in 2028? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 10.5%
GDP growth in 2028? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 10.5%
GDP growth in 2028? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 10%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Paris on October 19?
PM $26.9KWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Maine lobster landings in 2026
K 43.1K contractsWill Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?Yes 97.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 19?
PM $26.8KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers
K 43.0K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 10Yes 79%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 10Yes 73%
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 10Yes 71.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
PM $26.7KWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Yes 47%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes 43.5%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?Yes 4.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New York gas prices tomorrow
K 42.6K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3900?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3850?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3800?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 18?
PM $26.2KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 72%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 22%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 6.5%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?
K 42.4K contractsWill it rain in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 45%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 41%
Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 32.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
PM $26.2KAmazon 2026 capex above $170B?Yes 99.3%
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?Yes 96.2%
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Yes 94.8%
+3 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
K 42.3K contractsWill the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.66% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.68% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 40%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.67% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 40%
+25 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 18?
PM $26.1KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 18?Yes 61.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 18.4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 17%
+8 more
KalshiEntertainment
Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?
K 42.3K contractsRobert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man by 2027?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
K 42.1K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 21%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 18.5%
Will Jensen Huang be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 9.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2033 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in October 2026?
PM $25.8KWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Yes 91.5%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Yes 68%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 in October?Yes 52.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel price at year-end 2026
K 41.9K contractsWill AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.00?Yes 98.5%
Will AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.60?Yes 96.5%
Will AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.40?Yes 96.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
PM $25.8KWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 54.5%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 25%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 41.4K contractsWill Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 88.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
PM $25.1KWill the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Yes 46.5%
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Yes 21%
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?
K 41.3K contractsWill year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
PM $25.0KWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Yes 43%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Yes 21%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Mississippi cotton production in 2027
K 41.2K contractsWill Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?Yes 92.5%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?Yes 74.5%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?Yes 62%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on October 18?
PM $24.7KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 18?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 14.4%
+8 more
KalshiHealth
Hims subscribers in 2026
K 40.8K contractsWill Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.8 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.84 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.88 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 95%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
PM $24.6KWill the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?Yes 24.7%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?Yes 24%
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?Yes 20.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
K 40.8K contractsUnemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.2%)Yes 38%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.1%)Yes 29.5%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)Yes 19%
+20 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Manila on October 18?
PM $24.4KWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
3 mkts
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme
K 39.7K contractsWho will perform the next James Bond Song? (Olivia Dean)Yes 34%
Who will perform the next James Bond Song? (Raye)Yes 26%
Who will perform the next James Bond Song? (Dua Lipa)Yes 19.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?
PM $24.4KWill the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Yes 59.4%
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes 17%
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?Yes 12.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US Nominal GDP in 2026
K 39.1K contractsUS Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.4 trillion)Yes 99%
US Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.2 trillion)Yes 98.5%
US Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.6 trillion)Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
PM $24.3KWill the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 60.3%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 38.7%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 38.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
PM $23.9K · K 6.3K contractsWill Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 14.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?
K 38.8K contractsWill Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 be above 24,431 employees?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
EV market share in 2030?
K 38.3K contractsEV market share in 2030? (Above 10%)Yes 85%
EV market share in 2030? (Above 20%)Yes 63%
EV market share in 2030? (Above 30%)Yes 46.5%
+1 moreNext deadline May 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on October 18?
PM $23.9KWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 69%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 18?Yes 2.9%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?
K 37.9K contractsWill any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?Yes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?
PM $23.8KWill the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Yes 39.5%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Yes 22.5%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
K 37.7K contractsWill Alaska's 2026 commercial all salmon harvest total 75 million fish or above?Yes 95.5%
Will Alaska's 2026 commercial all salmon harvest total 80 million fish or above?Yes 95.5%
Will Alaska's 2026 commercial all salmon harvest total 85 million fish or above?Yes 93.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $23.8KWill Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Yes 95.8%
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?Yes 4%
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be less than $9B at market close on IPO day?Yes 2.8%
+5 more
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2030?
K 37.2K contractsGDP growth in 2030? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 16%
GDP growth in 2030? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 12%
GDP growth in 2030? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 11.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2031 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How low will Lake Mead drop?
PM $23.5KWill Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Yes 53.4%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Yes 31.5%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?Yes 8.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
US government budget balance in 2026
K 36.5K contractsWill the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -9.0% of GDP?Yes 82%
Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -8.5% of GDP?Yes 63.5%
Will the United States’ general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -8.0% of GDP?Yes 36%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?
PM $23.4KNetflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?Yes 65.5%
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%?Yes 28.5%
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin <30%?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC