Politics prediction markets

Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?Yes 11.5%

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)

K 52.6K contracts

Will the Democratic party hold more than 56 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?Yes 10.5%

Will the Democratic party hold exactly 52 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?Yes 9.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC

KalshiSports

Pro Football: 750+ Rushing Yards Season

K 52.6K contracts

Will James Cook III record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 89.5%

Will Jonathan Taylor record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 81.5%

Will Derrick Henry record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 80.5%

+47 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 2.5%

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

PM $167.5K

Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 210 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 97.5%

How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

K 52.5K contracts

Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 214 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 97%

Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 218 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 92%

+8 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes 65%

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

PM $167.2K

Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.6%

Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.3%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 99.5%

Which states will Trump visit in 2026?

K 52.5K contracts

Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 99.5%

Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 89%

+19 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Yes 8.3%

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

PM $166.7K

Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?Yes 3.4%

KalshiElections

Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?

K 52.2K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?

PM $166.4K

Will Democrats win exactly 13 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas?Yes 24%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

K 51.8K contracts

Will Democrats win exactly 12 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas?Yes 21.5%

Will Democrats win exactly 11 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas?Yes 19%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?Yes 0.4%

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

PM $166.2K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

PM $164.9K · K 260.8K contracts

Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 36% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 68%Rules differK Yes 79.5%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 35% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 36.5%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 34% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 20%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

What will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Healthcare)Yes 68.5%

What will Trump say during his announcement?

K 51.4K contracts

What will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Billion / Trillion)Yes 58.5%

What will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Invest / Invested / Investment)Yes 55%

+23 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?Yes 99.5%

Who will release a new song this year?

K 51.2K contracts

Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?Yes 91.5%

Will The Marías release a new song 2026?Yes 84.5%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes 76.5%

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

PM $164.3K

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes 23.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 97%

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

K 51.0K contracts

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 95.5%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 92%

+7 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC

China coup attempt before 2028?Yes 10.5%

China coup attempt by...?

PM $164.3K

China coup attempt before 2027?Yes 3.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will A bill ending self rule in Washington DC becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%

Will DC come under federal control in 2026?

K 50.9K contracts

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 4.3%

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

PM $163.7K

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 19 in Oct 2026?Yes 99.5%

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

K 50.6K contracts

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 17 in Oct 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 20 in Oct 2026?Yes 99.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?Yes 94.5%

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

PM $162.1K

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?Yes 90.5%

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 21?Yes 89.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?

K 50.6K contracts

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Bedrock)Yes 97.5%

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 96.5%

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Trainium)Yes 92.5%

+19 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes 19.4%

Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner

PM $161.1K

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes 10.6%

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes 4.9%

+3 more

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 72%

Wisconsin Governor margin of victory

K 50.2K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 46%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 38%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 3%

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

PM $161.0K

Will Patrick Mahomes record 3000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 96.5%

KalshiSports

Pro Football: 3000+ Passing Yards Season

K 49.9K contracts

Will Josh Allen record 3000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 92%

Will Tyler Shough record 3000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 86.5%

+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC

Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?Yes 19.5%

Israel military action against Syria by...?

PM $160.6K

Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Yes 8.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will Clarence Thomas announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 43%

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

K 49.9K contracts

Will Clarence Thomas announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 13%

Will Clarence Thomas announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

PM $159.9K

Will Republican win the House race for TN-05?Yes 91.2%

TN-05 House winner?

K 49.7K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for TN-05?Yes 8.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC