Browse prediction markets

Will Democratic win the House race for PA-12?Yes 98%

PA-12 House winner?

K 62.6K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for PA-12?Yes 1.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will at least 5 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 55%

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

K 62.1K contracts

Will exactly 4 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 21%

Will exactly 3 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 16%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes 21.5%

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

PM $201.8K

PM $201.0K · K 28.2K contracts

When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Tim Pool attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?Yes 64%

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?

K 62.0K contracts

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?Yes 32%

Will Dan Bongino attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?Yes 7.3%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 61.9K contracts

Will October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 26.5%

Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%

Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 1.4%

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

PM $200.9K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Democrats win exactly 11 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania?Yes 40%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

K 61.6K contracts

Will Democrats win exactly 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania?Yes 29.5%

Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania?Yes 20%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.3%

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

PM $200.8K

Will Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%

KalshiSports

Pro Basketball Players Traded

K 61.3K contracts

Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%

Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 49%

+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

PM $199.7K

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.2%

Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin before 2027?Yes 3.4%

Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?

K 61.2K contracts

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 8%

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

PM $198.2K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

When will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?

K 61.0K contracts

Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 86.5%

Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 80%

Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 76.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketWorld

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

PM $196.5K

Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes 89.5%

Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes 10.5%

Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes 0.3%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will the President sign between 400 and 449 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Yes 19.5%

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?

K 61.0K contracts

Will the President sign between 450 and 499 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Yes 15.5%

Will the President sign between 350 and 399 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Yes 14.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2029 UTC

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 2.3%

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

PM $195.4K

Will Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?Yes 8.3%

2028 Democratic Presidential ticket

K 60.9K contracts

Will Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?Yes 7.2%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?Yes 6.1%

+23 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 20.5%

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

PM $193.6K

PM $192.7K · K 104.8K contracts

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 22%Rules differK Yes 25%

Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska before Nov 3, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?

K 60.2K contracts

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?Yes 90.5%

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 22, 2027?Yes 70%

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Mar 15, 2027?Yes 66.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC

Will Jerry Moran vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 8.5%

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

K 60.0K contracts

Will Mike Lee vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 8%

Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 7.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 5.3%

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

PM $191.9K

AI regulation by 2027?Yes 6.1%

Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?

K 59.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?Yes 22%

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

PM $190.8K

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 17.5%

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 16.4%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PM $188.4K · K 823.3K contracts

Arizona Governor winner?

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 92.5%Rules differK Yes 90.8%

Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 88%Rules differK Yes 90.8%

Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 11%Rules differK Yes 9.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 53%

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

K 59.9K contracts

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 51%

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 40.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.2%

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

K 59.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes 20.6%

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

PM $187.6K

Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes 13.5%

Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes 4.4%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?

K 59.7K contracts

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 500 as of October 31, 2027?Yes 86%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2028 UTC

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes 30.5%

Which bills will become law in 2026?

PM $186.8K

Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Yes 23.5%

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes 20.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiCrypto

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

K 59.2K contracts

Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?Yes 66.5%

Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 3 in 2026?Yes 22.5%

Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 4 in 2026?Yes 7.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%

Another NATO article 4 by...?

PM $186.5K

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 11 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 98%

How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

K 59.1K contracts

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 10 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 98%

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 12 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 96%

+10 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes 4.5%

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

PM $186.4K

Will Democratic win the House race for CA-06?Yes 94.8%

CA-06 House winner?

K 59.0K contracts

Will Kevin Kiley win the House race for CA-06?Yes 5.1%

Will Republican win the House race for CA-06?Yes 0.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

EU dissolves before 2027?Yes 1.8%

EU dissolves before 2027?

PM $185.5K

Will Democrats hold 240 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 54 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?Yes 20%

KalshiElections

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

K 58.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?Yes 93%

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

PM $183.9K

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?Yes 90.5%

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Yes 67%

+6 more

Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?Yes 53.5%

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

K 58.9K contracts

Will Los Angeles Mayor be Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?Yes 46.5%

Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Steve Hilton wins for Nov 2026?Yes 2.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes 2.6%

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

PM $182.8K

Will Republican win the House race for MD-01?Yes 87.5%

MD-01 House winner?

K 58.2K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for MD-01?Yes 13.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PM $181.1K · K 904.8K contracts

Montana Senate winner?

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 90.1%

Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 9.7%

Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

K 57.8K contracts

Will become President of the United States before 2045?Yes 20.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes 2.7%

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

PM $180.3K