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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 49-96 of 496 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiTech
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

K 271.1K contracts
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 86%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

PM $28.0K
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes >99.9%
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 97.9%
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 89%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contracts

No comparable saved prices

0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Best AI this week

Best AI this week

K 259.7K contracts
Best AI this week (Gemini)Yes 99.5%
Best AI this week (Grok)Yes 0.5%
Best AI this week (ChatGPT)Yes 0.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

K 242.1K contracts
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Jun 30, 2027)Yes 5.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague declared public health emergency by...?

Plague declared public health emergency by...?

PM $20.5K
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Yes 2.3%
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?

PM $12.0K · K 3.6K contracts

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Starbucks announce acquisition of Chipotle before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

K 238.6K contracts
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 36%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?Yes 34%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

K 229.2K contracts
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)Yes 99.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

PM $11.1K
Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 13%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCompanies
Which companies will be acquired this year?

Which companies will be acquired this year?

PM $4.9K · K 102.4K contracts

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Robinhood funded customers in 2026

Robinhood funded customers in 2026

K 218.8K contracts
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.2 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

K 200.4K contracts
Will USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%
Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%
Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketScience
Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?

Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?

PM $167.51
Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?Yes 30%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?

PM $10.79 · K 10.7K contracts

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

Kalshi: Will the CEO of Anthropic leave in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.7%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

K 193.9K contracts
Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 28.5%
Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%
Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series  before 2027?

Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?

K 192.4K contracts
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Amazon)Yes 16.5%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Netflix)Yes 9.5%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Disney)Yes 4.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

K 184.8K contracts
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

K 181.3K contracts
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?Yes 32.6%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will any company achieve AGI?

When will any company achieve AGI?

K 180.3K contracts
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 81.5%
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 77.5%
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
American Express cards-in-force in Q3

American Express cards-in-force in Q3

K 179.7K contracts
Will American Express Company report Above 154.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

K 171.2K contracts
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

K 167.5K contracts
Will Tesla Inc report above 0 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 83%
Will Tesla Inc report above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will Tesla Inc report above 5000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

K 158.2K contracts
Above 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 17.5%
Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 12.5%
Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

K 157.1K contracts
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)Yes 8.5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)Yes 7%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

K 145.4K contracts
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 54.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

K 145.3K contracts
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 50.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

K 144.4K contracts
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week

Anthropic market share this week

K 132.1K contracts
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026

Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026

K 131.8K contracts
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $50 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $55 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $60 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 61.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded

NFL Players Traded

K 129.4K contracts
Will Jonah Elliss be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 60%
Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

K 128.6K contracts
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 27.5%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026

K 126.7K contracts
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

K 126.2K contracts
Will Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7%
Will JPMorgan Chase take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?

Will Elon purchase Ryanair?

K 125.4K contracts
Will Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

K 122.9K contracts
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?

K 119.2K contracts
Will Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?

Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?

K 116.1K contracts
Will OpenAI change its CEO?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards

New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards

K 113.4K contracts
Juwan Johnson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 84.5%
Chris Olave: 40+ receiving yardsYes 83.5%
Isaiah Likely: 25+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

K 112.1K contracts
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

K 106.9K contracts
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 39.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?

AI capability growth this year?

K 104.8K contracts
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 55%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 33%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Who will be the next CEO of X?

Who will be the next CEO of X?

K 103.1K contracts
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Elon Musk)Yes 7.5%
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Nikita Bier)Yes 3%
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Mahmoud Reza Banki)Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

K 96.4K contracts
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

K 95.7K contracts
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 59%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards

Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards

K 94.7K contracts
CeeDee Lamb: 40+ receiving yardsYes 86.5%
Tucker Kraft: 25+ receiving yardsYes 80.5%
Christian Watson: 40+ receiving yardsYes 80.5%
+106 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3

K 93.6K contracts
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56.5 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 57 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 71.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

K 93.0K contracts
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC