Browse prediction markets

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes 57%

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

PM $1.72M

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes 32.6%

Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes 9.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

PM $1.47M · K 2.55M contracts

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 35%

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.9%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PM Yes 36.5%Review neededK Yes 42.5%

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 24%Review neededK Yes 22.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Tame Impala be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 91%

Who will headline Coachella 2027?

K 430.3K contracts

Will Dua Lipa be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 81.5%

Will Drake be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 63.5%

+113 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC

China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes 4%

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

PM $1.42M

Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Islam Makhachev)Yes 93%

Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 411.8K contracts

Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Carlos Prates)Yes 5.5%

Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ian Machado Garry)Yes 1.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 14%

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

PM $1.40M

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Post Malone have a #1 album this year?Yes 45%

Who will have a #1 album this year?

K 406.6K contracts

Will Lil Baby have a #1 album this year?Yes 41.5%

Will SZA have a #1 album this year?Yes 40%

+99 moreNext deadline Dec 27, 2026 UTC

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 30.9%

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

PM $1.36M

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 27.7%

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 19.8%

+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards

K 406.0K contracts

Wan'Dale Robinson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Keenan Allen: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Keenan Allen: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

+89 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes 1.5%

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

PM $1.25M

PM $1.22M · K 40.9K contracts

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 87.5%Rules differK Yes 88.5%

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13%Rules differK Yes 12%

Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Atanas Atanasov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

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11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Dior at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 63.5%

Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress

K 398.1K contracts

Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Monique Lhuillier at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 20.5%

Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Fendi at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 18%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 75)Yes 99.5%

Wild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 376.3K contracts

Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 70)Yes 99.5%

Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 65)Yes 99.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes 0.4%

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

PM $1.06M

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 23%

Will the US acquire any new territory?

K 360.8K contracts

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?Yes 45%

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

PM $1.06M

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?Yes 29%

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.7%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 96.5%

Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 351.6K contracts

Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 95.5%

Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 94.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

PM $1.01M · K 416.0K contracts

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Carlos Ulberg)

Related contracts

PM Yes 92%Rules differK Yes 92.5%

Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Magomed Ankalaev)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.2%Rules differK Yes 6%

Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Alex Pereira)

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

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8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Chuba Hubbard: 40+ rushing yardsYes 94%

Carolina vs Philadelphia: Rushing Yards

K 336.6K contracts

Chuba Hubbard: 50+ rushing yardsYes 86%

Dameon Pierce: 30+ rushing yardsYes 76.5%

+43 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 3%

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

PM $864.5K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

K 332.3K contracts

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 83%

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

PM $847.2K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?Yes 14%

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

K 327.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes 7.8%

Weed rescheduled by...?

PM $820.0K

Will Lil Baby release a new album in 2026?Yes 90%

Who will release a new album in 2026?

K 324.3K contracts

Will Offset release a new album in 2026?Yes 79.5%

Will 2 Chainz release a new album in 2026?Yes 76.5%

+70 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes 9%

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

PM $775.0K

Will Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 89.5%

KalshiEntertainment

Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?

K 316.0K contracts

Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%

Will The Avett Brothers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%

+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 69.5%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

PM $754.4K

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 23.5%

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 6.2%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Julianne Moore)Yes 92%

Oscar nominees: Best Actress

K 312.6K contracts

2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Inde Navarrette)Yes 85%

2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Olivia Wilde)Yes 74%

+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Yes 22%

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

PM $752.7K

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will above 13500000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 91.5%

How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?

K 303.6K contracts

Will above 13750000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 89.5%

Will above 14000000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 77.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jul 22, 2027 UTC

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.9%

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

PM $677.8K

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.4%

Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.3%

+20 more

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Sean Strickland)Yes 91%

Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 298.6K contracts

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Nassourdine Imavov)Yes 6.5%

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Khamzat Chimaev)Yes 1.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

PM $657.9K

Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 71.5%

Oscar winner: Best Actress

K 296.5K contracts

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 19%

Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 3.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

PM $640.6K

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 96.5%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 293.4K contracts

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 93.5%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 90.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 23.5%

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

PM $542.3K

PM $539.9K · K 51.8K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.4%Rules differK Yes 5%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.8%Rules differK Yes 5%

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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Top Song on Spotify in 2026?

K 293.0K contracts

Will End of Beginning be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 88%

Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11.5%

Will SWIM be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2%

+25 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

PM $522.3K · K 43.3K contracts

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97%Rules differK Yes 97%

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.3%Rules differK Yes 93%

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Kylian Mbappé: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 75.5%

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19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Roschon Johnson: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Chicago vs Atlanta: Receptions

K 289.3K contracts

Cole Kmet: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Rome Odunze: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%

+75 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Klara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 5)Yes 98.5%

Klara and the Sun · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 285.3K contracts

Klara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 10)Yes 96.5%

Klara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 15)Yes 87.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Yes 3.5%

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

PM $462.5K