Politics prediction markets
6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 913-960 of 6,945 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
K 36.9K contractsWill The Democrats finish 4th in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 32%
Will Together finish 4th in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 17%
Will Shas finish 4th in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 15.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PM $99.7KWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NHL Presidents' Trophy Winner
K 36.8K contractsWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Presidents' Trophy?Yes 16%
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Presidents' Trophy?Yes 10.5%
Will the Florida Panthers win the Presidents' Trophy?Yes 8%
+29 moreNext deadline Apr 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PM $99.6KAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 0.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 36.6K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 81.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?
PM $98.7KAndrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Yes 59.5%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Dec 31?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada?
K 36.6K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nevada?Yes 70.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nevada?Yes 25%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nevada?Yes 2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-06 House Election Winner
PM $98.6KWill the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado Senate winner?
K 36.5K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Colorado?Yes 99%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Colorado?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-21 House Election Winner
PM $97.9KWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes 74.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes 26%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October
PM $97.0K · K 12.8K contractsReserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 67%Rules differK Yes 65.5%
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 29.5%Rules differK Yes 34%
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
HI-02 House winner?
K 36.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for HI-02?Yes 93.8%
Will Republican win the House race for HI-02?Yes 5.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 36.1K contractsWill there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?
PM $96.9KWill Russia capture Novodmytrivka by December 31?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?
K 36.1K contractsWill Proposition 141 pass?Yes 86%
Will Proposition 316 pass?Yes 85.5%
Will Proposition 319 pass?Yes 82%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Tennessee Senate winner?
PM $96.9K · K 435.3K contractsWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Tennessee?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.2%Rules differK Yes 96%
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Tennessee?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.9%Rules differK Yes 4.2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $96.8K · K 59.3K contractsWill the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Rhode Island
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.3%Rules differK Yes 95.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Rhode Island
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 0.8%
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Rhode Island
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 0.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?
K 36.0K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?Yes 33.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?Yes 33%
Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
#2 Most Searched Person on Google in 2026?
K 36.0K contractsWill Bad Bunny be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 21.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 5.5%
Will Donald Trump be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 4%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
PM $96.7KAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent
K 35.9K contractsWill Wayne Thornton receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 11%
Will Wayne Thornton receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 9.5%
Will Wayne Thornton receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 9%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-23 House Election Winner
PM $96.5KWill the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes 71.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?
K 35.8K contractsHow many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Oct 2026? (0)Yes 91%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Oct 2026? (1)Yes 7.5%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Oct 2026? (2)Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?
PM $96.4KWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?
K 35.7K contractsWill Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?Yes 84.5%
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker of the House?Yes 8.1%
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker of the House?Yes 2.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
PM $96.0KGavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 41%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 29.5%
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 27.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?
K 35.5K contractsWill Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 19.5%
Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 14%
Will Gadi Eisenkot be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 6.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
PM $96.0KWill Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Oregon Governor winner?
PM $95.7K · K 368.4K contractsWill the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oregon
Related contracts
PM Yes 78.5%Rules differK Yes 78.5%
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oregon
Related contracts
PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 22%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-04 House election: Tim Veldhuizen vote percent
K 35.5K contractsWill Tim Veldhuizen receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 6%
Will Tim Veldhuizen receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 3%
Will Tim Veldhuizen receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?
K 35.4K contractsWill the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
PM $95.1KWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Amazonas Governor Election Winner
PM $94.9K · K 10.4K contractsWill Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 87.5%
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?
Kalshi: Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin?
K 35.3K contractsWill Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 42%
Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 29%
Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 12 and 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
K 35.1K contractsWill the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 25000 in 2026?Yes 92%
Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 27500 in 2026?Yes 82%
Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 30000 in 2026?Yes 56.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?
PM $94.6KUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut's 1st District margin of victory
K 35.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Prime Minister of Italy?
PM $94.3KWill Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 52%
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 20.5%
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 20%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
K 34.4K contractsWill the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 5 percentage points or less?Yes 81.5%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 5 percentage points or less?Yes 77%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 5 percentage points or less?Yes 71%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Guerrero Governor Election Winner
PM $94.2KWill Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 88.3%
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 4.9%
Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 3.8%
+25 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in North Carolina?
K 34.0K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina?Yes 44%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina?Yes 21%
Will Democrats win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-07 House Election Winner
PM $93.9KWill the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes 97.9%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?
K 33.7K contractsWill Narendra Modi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Yes 42%
Will Rahul Gandhi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Yes 31%
Will Yogi Adityanath become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 30, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?
PM $93.7KWill Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
MT-01 House winner?
PM $92.7K · K 533.5K contractsWill the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MT-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 67.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MT-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 32.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-07 House election: Joe Krzeckowski vote percent
K 33.6K contractsWill Joe Krzeckowski receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-07 House election?Yes 62.5%
Will Joe Krzeckowski receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-07 House election?Yes 30.5%
Will Joe Krzeckowski receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-07 House election?Yes 12.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
EU loses a member before 2030?
K 33.6K contractsWill a country leave the EU by 2030?Yes 9.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PM $92.7KWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC