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Showing 1,009-1,056 of 7,500 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
K 35.4K contractsWhen will a supervolcano next erupt?Yes 32%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
PM $90.8KIlhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Yes 21%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Yes 6.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
K 35.1K contractsWill the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 25000 in 2026?Yes 93%
Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 27500 in 2026?Yes 82%
Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 30000 in 2026?Yes 56.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-05 House Election Winner
PM $90.6KWill the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes 88.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut's 1st District margin of victory
K 35.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
PM $90.6KPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
K 34.7K contractsWill Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Pena be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 12%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
PM $89.0KWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 34.5K contractsWill there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-01 House Election Winner
PM $88.7KWill the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes 87.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 18, 2026?
K 34.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be >69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the maximum temperature be <62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
PM $88.2KAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Lala category?
K 34.3K contractsWill Lala become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 95%
Will Lala become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 94.5%
Will Lala become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 94%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-23 House Election Winner
PM $88.2KWill the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
K 34.1K contractsWill Trudy be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Vance be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 62%
Will Zeke be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 61.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-11 House Election Winner
PM $88.1KWill the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in North Carolina?
K 34.0K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina?Yes 44.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina?Yes 20%
Will Democrats win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-16 House Election Winner
PM $87.8KWill the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?
K 33.7K contractsWill Narendra Modi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Yes 42%
Will Rahul Gandhi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Yes 31%
Will Yogi Adityanath become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 30, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
PM $87.5KWill Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-07 House election: Joe Krzeckowski vote percent
K 33.6K contractsWill Joe Krzeckowski receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-07 House election?Yes 62.5%
Will Joe Krzeckowski receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-07 House election?Yes 30.5%
Will Joe Krzeckowski receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-07 House election?Yes 12.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner
PM $87.2KWill Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes 64.8%
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes 5.5%
Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes 3.4%
+12 moreNext deadline Jun 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
EU loses a member before 2030?
K 33.6K contractsWill a country leave the EU by 2030?Yes 9.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
PM $86.7K · K 112.9K contractsWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Rebeca Grynspan)
Related contracts
PM Yes 37.4%Rules differK Yes 30.5%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Rafael Grossi)
Related contracts
PM Yes 31.5%Rules differK Yes 23%
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés)
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.3%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin?
K 33.5K contractsWill Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 41.5%
Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 27%
Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 7.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-36 House Election Winner
PM $86.1KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-36 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
K 33.5K contractsWill Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?Yes 7.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
PM $86.1KWill 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 4%
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NE-01 House winner?
K 33.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NE-01?Yes 84.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NE-01?Yes 16%
Will Austin Ahlman win the House race for NE-01?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PM $85.8KWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 75.5%
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 16.4%
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 33.4K contractsWill Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 79%
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-26 House Election Winner
PM $85.8KWill the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes 88.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mongolian presidential election winner?
K 33.3K contractsWho will win the next Mongolian presidential election? (Gombojavyn Zandanshatar)Yes 15.5%
Will Norovyn Altankhuyag win the next Mongolian presidential election? (Norovyn Altankhuyag)Yes 9.5%
Will Luvsannyamyn Gantömör win the next Mongolian presidential election? (Luvsannyamyn Gantömör)Yes 7.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jun 29, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PM $85.5KWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes 11.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-16 House winner?
K 33.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IL-16?Yes 94.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for IL-16?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
PM $84.8KWill Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes 53.5%
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes 43.5%
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes <0.1%
+6 more
KalshiPolitics
New York Governor margin of victory
K 33.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-01 House Election Winner
PM $84.8KWill the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes 69%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes 31%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate margin of victory
K 33.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 45.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 27%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-04 House Election Winner
PM $84.1KWill the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Indiana Secretary of State winner?
K 33.1K contractsIndiana Secretary of State winner? (Beau Bayh)Yes 52%
Indiana Secretary of State winner? (Max Engling)Yes 45%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PM $84.0KZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
K 33.1K contractsWill the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 5 percentage points or less?Yes 77%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 5 percentage points or less?Yes 72.5%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 5 percentage points or less?Yes 67.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
PM $83.9KWill the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 2.4%
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical
K 33.0K contractsWill Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 93.5%
Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
PM $83.6KWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona Governor margin of victory
K 33.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 50.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PM $83.1KWill Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 29.8%
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 25.9%
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 11.4%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC