Browse prediction markets

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 99%

Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026

K 28.1K contracts

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 13%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

PM $60.3K

Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 99.5%

Hungary rate decision in October

K 28.1K contracts

Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 11.5%

Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 1%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?Yes 96.5%

GA-09 House Election Winner

PM $60.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-09 House seat?Yes 2.9%

Will the National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $15M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 59.5%

NRSC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

K 27.9K contracts

Will the National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $45M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%

Will the National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $17.5M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 49.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?Yes 96.6%

TX-01 House Election Winner

PM $60.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?Yes 2.3%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%

KalshiTech

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)

K 27.9K contracts

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 97.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 12.8%Yes 44.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 28.5%

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

PM $60.1K

Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 28%

Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 27.2%

+18 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

Will President of France be the first to leave office?Yes 70%

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

K 27.8K contracts

Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?Yes 18%

Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?Yes 9%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2045 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?Yes 95.3%

UT-04 House Election Winner

PM $60.0K

Will the Democratic Party win the UT-04 House seat?Yes 4.1%

KalshiScience and Technology

Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?

K 27.8K contracts

WIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%

Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes 90.5%

NC-06 House Election Winner

PM $60.0K

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes 9%

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Delaware?Yes 98.4%

Delaware Senate winner?

K 27.7K contracts

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Delaware?Yes 2.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?Yes 95.5%

MO-06 House Election Winner

PM $60.0K

Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?Yes 4.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 8200000?Yes 92%

Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

K 27.5K contracts

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 8800000?Yes 85.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 9400000?Yes 74%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes 66%

KY-06 House Election Winner

PM $59.5K

Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes 34.5%

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $1.5 billion)Yes 97.5%

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026

K 27.4K contracts

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $3.0 billion)Yes 97.5%

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $2.0 billion)Yes 97.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes 87%

Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?

PM $59.5K

Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes 6.5%

Will Lise-Lotte Bensköld Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes <0.1%

+3 more

Will Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

K 27.3K contracts

Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%

Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 75%

+10 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes 97.5%

Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands

PM $59.5K

Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes 1.6%

Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes 0.9%

3 mkts

KalshiTech

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron

K 27.2K contracts

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before 2028)Yes 52%

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before March 2027)Yes 12.5%

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before February 2027)Yes 6.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Yes 0.3%

Tim Walz in jail by...?

PM $59.4K

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 84.5%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory

K 27.2K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 42%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Yes 10.5%

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

PM $59.4K

PM $59.0K · K 150.9K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.6%Rules differK Yes 92.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alabama

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.2%Rules differK Yes 7.3%

Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alabama

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.3%Rules differK Yes 7.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will any current member of the Democratic Senate caucus (including independents who caucus with Democrats) publicly states that Chuck Schumer should step down, resign, or be replaced as Senate Democratic Leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 49%

Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?

K 27.2K contracts

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 94.8%

Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

K 27.0K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 90.2%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 82.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?Yes 96.2%

CA-39 House Election Winner

PM $59.0K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?Yes 2.4%

Will MIN Vikings D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 42.5%

KalshiSports

Top Fantasy D/ST

K 27.0K contracts

Will SEA Seahawks D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 26%

Will CLE Browns D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 21%

+29 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?Yes 96.6%

OH-03 House Election Winner

PM $58.9K

Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat?Yes 2.2%

Will the Bank of England raise the Bank Rate before 2027?Yes 94.5%

Which central banks will hike before 2027?

K 26.9K contracts

Will the Bank of Canada raise its target for the overnight rate before 2027?Yes 69.5%

Will the Riksbank raise its policy rate before 2027?Yes 52.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?Yes 98.6%

NJ-10 House Election Winner

PM $58.6K

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?Yes 1.5%

PM $58.5K · K 9.4K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

MI-03 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for MI-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 94.3%Rules differK Yes 94.2%

Will the Republican Party win the MI-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for MI-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 23rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 97.5%

Florida's 23rd District margin of victory

K 26.9K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 23rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 96.7%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 23rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 96.4%

+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

VA-02 House winner?

PM $58.5K · K 263.6K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for VA-2?

Related contracts

PM Yes 89.5%Rules differK Yes 88.5%

Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for VA-2?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 11%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Sveriges Riksbank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 57.5%

Sweden rate decision in November

K 26.8K contracts

Will Sveriges Riksbank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 48.5%

Will Sveriges Riksbank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 47%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 1%?Yes 96.5%

Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

K 26.8K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 4%?Yes 86%

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 7%?Yes 74.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC

Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?Yes 25%

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

PM $58.3K

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Yes 17%

Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?Yes 14.5%

Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?

K 26.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?Yes 95.5%

TX-12 House Election Winner

PM $58.2K

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?Yes 4.5%

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?Yes 20.5%

KalshiEconomics

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

K 26.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jul 7, 2029 UTC

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Yes 3%

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

PM $58.0K

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028Yes 87%

When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?

K 26.6K contracts

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 50%

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027Yes 36.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC