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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 97-144 of 500 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
K 90.5K contractsWill a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 8.5%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starbucks total global stores in 2026
K 89.6K contractsWill Starbucks Corporation report Above 41300 total global stores in 2026?Yes 94%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41400 total global stores in 2026?Yes 87%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41500 total global stores in 2026?Yes 72%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions
K 88.2K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 3+ receptionsYes 92.5%
Tucker Kraft: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
Matthew Golden: 3+ receptionsYes 85.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
K 80.7K contractsWill Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3
K 74.6K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above $205 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
K 73.0K contractsWhen will JUUL release Mint to the public?Yes 10.5%
When will JUUL release Mango to the public?Yes 6.5%
When will JUUL release Crème Brûlée to the public?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
K 69.7K contractsWill US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (No significant difference)Yes 39%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant increase)Yes 20.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3
K 68.4K contractsWill Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 91%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 67.4K contractsWill exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will exactly 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 42%
Will exactly 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 5.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
K 67.3K contractsNew pandemic by 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
K 65.9K contractsWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
K 65.7K contractsWhen will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla total deliveries in 2026
K 64.4K contractsWill Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
K 63.4K contractsWill the corporate tax be decreased before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Math in 2026?
K 62.8K contractsWill US test scores in Math decline? (No significant difference)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 33.5%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant increase)Yes 21%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
K 61.6K contractsWill a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?Yes 59.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
K 61.3K contractsMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Yes 42.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Basketball Players Traded
K 61.3K contractsWill Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 49%
+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?
K 60.9K contractsWill Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 79%
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 77%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
K 60.8K contractsDOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple?Yes 28%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiTech
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
K 60.5K contractsWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 17%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.4K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 8%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
K 57.4K contractsWill Ford Motor Company report Above 1.85 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 98%
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 1.95 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 1.9 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026
K 57.3K contractsWill eBay Inc. report Above $84 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $84.5 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $85 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 85%
+14 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
K 57.2K contractsWhen will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Oct 1, 2027)Yes 89.5%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 82%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jul 1, 2027)Yes 81%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.1K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
K 56.8K contractsWill the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?Yes 86%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?Yes 73.5%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Sep 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
K 55.7K contractsWill Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?
K 55.3K contractsWill any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release
K 54.3K contractsWill Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027
K 54.0K contractsWill timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 160 million board feet?Yes 96.5%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 180 million board feet?Yes 85%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 200 million board feet?Yes 44.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 53.8K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 180T tokens?Yes 2.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 178T tokens?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
K 53.4K contractsWill any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
K 50.6K contractsWhat will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Bedrock)Yes 97.5%
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 96.5%
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Trainium)Yes 92.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta headcount in 2026
K 49.3K contractsWill Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
K 48.9K contractsWill Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 84.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
K 47.8K contractsWill Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 75%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Apple say during their next earnings call?
K 46.9K contractsWhat will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Siri)Yes 93.5%
What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (iPhone 18)Yes 91%
What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 88.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
K 45.5K contractsWill Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 44%
Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 22%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026
K 44.9K contractsWill United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 180 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 178 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 182 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
K 42.7K contractsAbove 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
K 42.2K contractsWill SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 71.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.8K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC