Browse prediction markets

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Oct 19, 2026 and Oct 25, 2026?Yes 96.5%

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/19-10/25)

K 12.3K contracts

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 6 between Oct 19, 2026 and Oct 25, 2026?Yes 3.5%

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 5 between Oct 19, 2026 and Oct 25, 2026?Yes 1.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 84%

Alabama's 1st District margin of victory

K 12.2K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 73%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 59%

+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Next Regional Board Chair of Norrbotten?

Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Yes 88.5%

Will Kenneth Backgård be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Yes 3.2%

Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Yes 1.9%

+1 more

Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $80‎ billion?Yes 94.5%

US tariff revenue for 2026

K 12.2K contracts

Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100‎ billion?Yes 93.5%

Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $125‎ billion?Yes 91.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2027 UTC

AR-03 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?Yes 95%

Will the Democratic Party win the AR-03 House seat?Yes 4%

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Original Screenplay

K 12.2K contracts

Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90.5%

Will Club Kid be on the list of nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 72.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

CA-43 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-43 House seat?Yes 96.5%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?Yes 2.9%

TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 97.5%

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 96%

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 91.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner

Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes 97.2%

Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes 2.5%

Will Trump visit China?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 93%

Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 91.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?Yes 95%

FL-17 House Election Winner

PM $32.8K

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-17 House seat?Yes 4.5%

Alabama Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 85%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 79%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 69%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Yes 6.5%

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

PM $32.7K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

MI-05 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for MI-05?Yes 93.8%

Will Democratic win the House race for MI-05?Yes 5.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?Yes 97.9%

NY-08 House Election Winner

PM $32.7K

Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat?Yes 2.4%

AZ-04 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-04?Yes 95%

Will Republican win the House race for AZ-04?Yes 5.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Closest Senate Race?

Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes 16.8%

Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes 16%

Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes 15.4%

+32 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 56%

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 23%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC

WA-02 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?Yes 95.5%

Will the Republican Party win the WA-02 House seat?Yes 3.4%

Espírito Santo Governor winner?

Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%

Will Ricardo Ferraço win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election?Yes 3.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC

FL-11 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?Yes 92.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?Yes 7%

Prime Minister of Greece after the next election?

Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election?Yes 76.5%

Will Alexis Tsipras become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election?Yes 6.5%

Will Maria Karystianou become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election?Yes 3.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jul 25, 2028 UTC

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Yes 33%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Virginia's 4th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 97.8%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 97.8%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 97.6%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Yes 97.2%

Delaware Senate Election Winner

PM $32.3K

Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Yes 2.5%

PM $32.3K · K 68.5K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nebraska

Related contracts

PM Yes 89.5%Rules differK Yes 88.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nebraska

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.4%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nebraska

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will any Republican member of Congress calls on Trump to be removed as President through the 25th amendment before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 23.5%

Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?

K 11.9K contracts

Will any Republican member of Congress calls on Trump to be removed as President through the 25th amendment before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiElections

Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?

K 11.9K contracts

Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 3.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat?Yes 96.2%

CO-06 House Election Winner

PM $32.1K

Will the Republican Party win the CO-06 House seat?Yes 3.8%

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jan 2027?Yes 67.5%

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

K 11.9K contracts

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Dec 2026?Yes 56%

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Nov 2026?Yes 22.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat?Yes 92.5%

UT-02 House Election Winner

PM $32.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the UT-02 House seat?Yes 6.9%

KalshiEntertainment

Top podcast on Spotify in 2026?

What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (The Joe Rogan Experience)Yes 91%

What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von)Yes 3%

What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett)Yes 2.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 37.5%

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

PM $32.1K

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.5%

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 24%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Maine Senate General Election: voter turnout

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine Senate General Election be above 460000?Yes 97.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine Senate General Election be above 540000?Yes 96%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine Senate General Election be above 620000?Yes 86.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-09 House seat?Yes 96.9%

IL-09 House Election Winner

PM $32.0K

Will the Republican Party win the IL-09 House seat?Yes 2.5%

Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?

Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?Yes 83.5%

1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?Yes 67%

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

PM $31.9K

Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by October 31?Yes 15.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

Will James Talarico receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Webb County, Texas?Yes 97.5%

Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Webb County, Texas?Yes 97.5%

Will James Talarico receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Webb County, Texas?Yes 95.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?Yes 96.4%

TX-38 House Election Winner

PM $31.9K

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat?Yes 3.3%

KalshiSports

Arizona Governor: which counties will Katie Hobbs win?

Will Katie Hobbs win Maricopa County?Yes 93%

Will Katie Hobbs win Navajo County?Yes 43%

Will Katie Hobbs win Yuma County?Yes 29%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes 96.1%

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

PM $31.8K

Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes 1.4%

Will Janelle Kellman win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes 1.2%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Will Adam Telle be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 42.5%

Will Sean Parnell be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21%

Will Michael Obadal be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 7%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes 81.5%

NC-09 House Election Winner

PM $31.8K

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes 19%

PM $31.7K · K 7.4K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NJ-05 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NJ-5?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.5%Rules differK Yes 95.3%

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-05 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NJ-5?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 1.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

TX-21 House winner?