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Showing 2,353-2,400 of 7,394 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsAbove 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 83%
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 70%
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 42%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?
PM $25.8KWill Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 39%
Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 34.5%
Will Aaron Maluleka be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 13.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-03 House winner?
K 9.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-03?Yes 84.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-03?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 14.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-12 House winner?
K 9.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-12?Yes 94.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-12?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
PM $25.7KNicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Starr County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 9.8K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Starr County, Texas?Yes 97%
Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Starr County, Texas?Yes 95%
Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Starr County, Texas?Yes 88.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA-05 House Election Winner
PM $25.7KWill the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 3rd District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 64 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 67 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 70 percentage points?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-14 House Election Winner
PM $25.6KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?
K 9.7K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on invoking Section 740 of the D.C. Home Rule Act before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win white voters in the midterms?
PM $25.5KWill Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Yes 80.5%
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Josh Shapiro margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 97.7%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
PM $25.5KRFK Jr. Out by December 31?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts's 5th District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?Yes 98.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?Yes 98.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?Yes 98.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 22.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 3rd District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-12 House Election Winner
PM $25.3KWill the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?Yes 98.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-12 House seat?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland Attorney General winner?
K 9.7K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Maryland?Yes 97.5%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Maryland?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?
K 9.7K contractsWill the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-09 House Election Winner
PM $25.3KWill the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes 69.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA?
K 9.6K contractsParamount HQ relocation announcement before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 39%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
K 9.6K contractsWill the number of Republican governors be at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 88.5%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 22 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 75%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 58.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PM $25.2KWill the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 59.5%
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 36%
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 18.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 33.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 14.2%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CO-08 House winner?
PM $25.2K · K 37.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CO-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 84%Rules differK Yes 82.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CO-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 15.5%Rules differK Yes 15.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Hits + Runs + RBIs
K 9.6K contractsYandy Díaz: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 73%
Junior Caminero: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 69.5%
Jonathan Aranda: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 68%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Indiana transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?
K 9.6K contractsWill Indiana’s Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 be above 120,800 jobs?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 18% or more?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Navajo Nation presidential election winner?
K 9.6K contractsWill Justin Jones win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 59.5%
Will Crystalyne Curley win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 40%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-04 House winner?
K 9.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for VA-04?Yes 98%
Will Republican win the House race for VA-04?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
PM $25.2KWill a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 10th District margin of victory
K 9.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 91.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 82%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
PM $24.9KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?Yes 41.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?Yes 21.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?Yes 16.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won
K 9.5K contractsWill PL hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 95%
Will PSD hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3.5%
Will MDB hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
PM $24.9KUK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?
K 9.5K contractsWill the CDC end its recommendation for the COVID-19 vaccine?Yes 13.5%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Influenza vaccine?Yes 9%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Hepatitis B vaccine?Yes 5.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
PM $24.9KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes 92.2%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes 8.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
K 9.5K contractsWill Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 33.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 30.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 12.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PM $24.7KWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay
K 9.5K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 87%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 86%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 19.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Basketball (M): #3 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll
K 9.5K contractsWill Illinois be the #3 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 56.5%
Will Duke be the #3 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 13%
Will UConn be the #3 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 8%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC