Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 79.5%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the CA-11 House election? (Scott Wiener)

Related contracts

Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the CA-11 House election? (Connie Chan)

Related contracts

PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%

Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

K 9.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC

Georgia's 10th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 90.7%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 82.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 72.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

KS-02 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?Yes 86.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?Yes 13.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 96.5%

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 96.5%

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 95%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 33%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31.8%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23%

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

Will the number of Republican governors be at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 88%

Will the number of Republican governors be at least 22 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 75%

Will the number of Republican governors be at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 58.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?Yes 81.9%

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Yes 61%

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 34.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?

Will legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%

KalshiEconomics

Will Indiana transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?

Will Indiana’s Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 be above 120,800 jobs?Yes 30.5%

1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.5%

OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $20.2K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.4%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21%

Navajo Nation presidential election winner?

Will Justin Jones win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 58.5%

Will Crystalyne Curley win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 39.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

PM $20.2K

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?Yes 81%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?Yes 35.5%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes 34%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

VA-04 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for VA-04?Yes 98%

Will Republican win the House race for VA-04?Yes 1.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 39%

NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $20.2K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18%

Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won

Will PL hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 95%

Will PSD hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3.5%

Will MDB hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3%

+5 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC

NJ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.2%

PM $20.1K · K 154.3K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

Kalshi: Will a Congressional stock trading ban become law by December 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.1%Rules differK Yes 6.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiHealth

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?

Will the CDC end its recommendation for the COVID-19 vaccine?Yes 13.5%

Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Influenza vaccine?Yes 9%

Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Hepatitis B vaccine?Yes 5.6%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?

Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 33%

Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 30.5%

Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 12%

+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC

HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 36.4%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22%

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 87%

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 86%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes 52.5%

Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes 39.5%

Will Lin Szu-ming win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes 0.1%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

France’s government budget balance in 2026

Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -6.5% of GDP?Yes 96.5%

Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -6.0% of GDP?Yes 89%

Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -5.5% of GDP?Yes 78.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC

Michigan Senate and Governor Combo

Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes 68.5%

Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Yes 27%

Will Republicans sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.9%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)Yes 98%

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)Yes 97%

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)Yes 96%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 27.1%

MI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $20.0K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.4%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 13.9%

KalshiEconomics

Will Colorado home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?

Will Colorado’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 be above 679.21?Yes 28.5%

1 mktNext deadline Mar 2, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.5%

TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $20.0K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 32%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 17%

AZ-08 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for AZ-08?Yes 88.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-08?Yes 11%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 29.6%

PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $20.0K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%