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Showing 3,217-3,264 of 8,682 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 3rd District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 64 percentage points?Yes 95.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 67 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 70 percentage points?Yes 90.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?
K 9.7K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on invoking Section 740 of the D.C. Home Rule Act before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more?Yes 21.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
K 9.7K contractsWill Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Turnout
PM $16.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?Yes 24.4%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,000,000 and 10,400,000?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts's 5th District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?Yes 98.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?Yes 98.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?Yes 98.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 14%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 10.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 3rd District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 71%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 17%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland Attorney General winner?
K 9.7K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Maryland?Yes 97.5%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Maryland?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $16.0KWill Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?Yes 92%
Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?Yes 9%
Will Huang Hsiu-fang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?Yes 0.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?
K 9.7K contractsWill the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 10th District margin of victory
K 9.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 90.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NE-03 House Election Winner
PM $16.0KWill the Republican Party win the NE-03 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
K 9.6K contractsWill Josh Shapiro receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 95%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
PM $16.0KWill the next elected US president be a woman?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA?
K 9.6K contractsParamount HQ relocation announcement before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 39.5%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 38%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?
PM $16.0KKimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Yes 11.5%
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
K 9.6K contractsWill the number of Republican governors be at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 88.5%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 22 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 75%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 58.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Indiana transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?
K 9.6K contractsWill Indiana’s Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 be above 120,800 jobs?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Navajo Nation presidential election winner?
K 9.6K contractsWill Justin Jones win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 58.5%
Will Crystalyne Curley win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 39.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 35%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 14.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/18-10/24)
K 9.6K contractsWill Donald Trump make between 140 and 159 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Donald Trump make between 160 and 179 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Olomouc
PM $15.9KWill Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 96.5%
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 3.1%
Will Otakar Štěpán Bačák be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 1.4%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
VA-04 House winner?
K 9.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for VA-04?Yes 98%
Will Republican win the House race for VA-04?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 12%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won
K 9.5K contractsWill PL hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 95%
Will PSD hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3.5%
Will MDB hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?
K 9.5K contractsWill the CDC end its recommendation for the COVID-19 vaccine?Yes 13.5%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Influenza vaccine?Yes 9%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Hepatitis B vaccine?Yes 5.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 12.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in April 2027
K 9.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $12.00 in April 2027?Yes 50%
+16 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
K 9.5K contractsWill Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 33%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 30.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 11.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
PM $15.7KWill Congress override any veto in 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay
K 9.5K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 87%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 86%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
PM $15.7KWill Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Yes 79.5%
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?Yes 20.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
France’s government budget balance in 2026
K 9.5K contractsWill France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -6.5% of GDP?Yes 96.5%
Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -6.0% of GDP?Yes 89%
Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -5.5% of GDP?Yes 78.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner
PM $15.7KWill Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Yes 46%
Will Wendy Mitchell win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Yes 5.8%
Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Yes 5.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Sporting Goods Ad Spend in October
K 9.5K contractsWill Sporting Goods Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 85?Yes 98.5%
Will Sporting Goods Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 50?Yes 98.5%
Will Sporting Goods Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 105?Yes 89%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026
K 9.5K contractsHow many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)Yes 98%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)Yes 97.5%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
PM $15.6KChud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC