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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 289-336 of 1,715 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

K 54.6K contracts
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

PM $63.6K
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Yes 6.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions

Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions

K 54.6K contracts
CeeDee Lamb: 3+ receptionsYes 92.5%
Tucker Kraft: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
George Pickens: 3+ receptionsYes 86.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

PM $63.2K
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.5%
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

K 54.6K contracts
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

PM $62.0K
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 27%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 16%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release

Next Gemini Pro model release

K 54.3K contracts
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

PM $61.5K
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Yes 23%
Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?Yes 18%
Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?Yes 17%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in December

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in December

K 53.7K contracts
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in December 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in December 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in December 2026?Yes 35%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?

PM $61.2K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on October 16?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 16?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

K 53.4K contracts
Will any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?

PM $61.1K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiWorld
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Home Runs

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Home Runs

K 53.1K contracts
Junior Caminero: 1+ home runs?Yes 15%
José Ramírez: 1+ home runs?Yes 12.5%
Yandy Díaz: 1+ home runs?Yes 12%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

PM $60.5K
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 74%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 22.1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Rushing Yards

K 52.8K contracts
Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yardsYes 85.5%
Jalon Daniels: 15+ rushing yardsYes 83.5%
Bucky Irving: 40+ rushing yardsYes 79.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

PM $60.3K
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 76.1%
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 20%
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 3.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models

Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models

K 52.7K contracts
Will Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Ashley Graham be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 97%
Will Adriana Lima be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 95%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

PM $60.1K
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America?

What will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America?

K 52.5K contracts
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Event does not qualify)Yes 94%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Bar / Exam)Yes 2.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 2%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

PM $60.0K
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Yes 30.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

K 52.3K contracts
Will there be more than 10 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will there be more than 12 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will there be more than 14 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 3.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

PM $59.2K
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes 82.7%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes 16.6%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Nolo category?

Hurricane Nolo category?

K 51.9K contracts
Will Nolo become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Nolo become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Nolo become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

PM $58.7K
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 66.3%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?

How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?

K 51.5K contracts
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 15 inches)Yes 89.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 10 inches)Yes 87%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 25 inches)Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI resumes training on...?

OpenAI resumes training on...?

PM $58.6K
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?Yes 6.3%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 18, 2026?Yes 4.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

K 51.4K contracts
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

PM $56.3K
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 54.5%
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 38%
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 0.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will release a new song this year?

Who will release a new song this year?

K 51.2K contracts
Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will The Marías release a new song 2026?Yes 84%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 18?

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 18?

PM $55.9K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Amazon headcount in 2026

Amazon headcount in 2026

K 50.8K contracts
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

PM $55.4K
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 19, 2026?Yes 1.6%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

K 50.1K contracts
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 18?

Highest temperature in Madrid on October 18?

PM $55.0K
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 18?Yes 98.9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?Yes 0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 18?Yes 0.2%
+8 more
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18

K 49.5K contracts
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 5.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 180T tokens?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $54.5K
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 42%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 23.9%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026

Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026

K 49.5K contracts
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.05 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.15 million TEUs?Yes 85.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.25 million TEUs?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

PM $52.5K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 81%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta headcount in 2026

Meta headcount in 2026

K 49.3K contracts
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

PM $51.6K
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 57%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

K 48.3K contracts
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?

PM $50.6K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?Yes 99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026?

Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026?

K 48.2K contracts
Will larping be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 14%
Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Looksmaxxing be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?

PM $50.6K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiWorld
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

K 47.9K contracts
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 62.5%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 60.5%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 55.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 18?

Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 18?

PM $49.8K
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiCompanies
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?

Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?

K 47.8K contracts
Will Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

PM $48.3K
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 57.5%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 37.6%
Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 28%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC