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Showing 385-432 of 1,718 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech

Amazon headcount in 2026
K 50.8K contractsWill Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketScience

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PM $60.3KWill there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 75.8%
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 20%
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 3.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
K 50.6K contractsWill new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 950 units?Yes 97.5%
Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,100 units?Yes 97.5%
Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,250 units?Yes 89%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PM $60.0KWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Yes 30.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
PM $59.2KWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes 82.7%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes 16.6%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
K 49.5K contractsWill Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.05 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.15 million TEUs?Yes 85.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.25 million TEUs?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI resumes training on...?
PM $58.9KWill OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Yes 86%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?Yes 5.9%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 18, 2026?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Meta headcount in 2026
K 49.3K contractsWill Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
PM $58.8KWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 69.8%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 12%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
K 48.8K contractsWill Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 62.5%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 60.5%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 55.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?
PM $58.7KWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?
PM $56.4KWill the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes 76.8%
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes 26.1%
2 mkts
KalshiTech

Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026?
K 48.2K contractsWill larping be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Looksmaxxing be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PM $56.3KWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 54%
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 37%
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 0.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
K 47.8K contractsWill Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
PM $56.2KWill no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 31%
Will Tally Gotliv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Yes 14.5%
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Yes 11.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
K 47.6K contractsWill South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.2 million TEUs?Yes 93.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.3 million TEUs?Yes 87.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.4 million TEUs?Yes 36.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
PM $55.4KWill there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 19, 2026?Yes 1.6%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 1.4%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 76%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $54.5KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 41%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 22%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
K 47.3K contractsWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84%
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 45%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
PM $53.9KWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
K 46.9K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 90.5%
Will Larry Page be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 85%
Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
PM $52.5KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 4%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
K 46.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 31%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 27%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
PM $52.1KWill no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 35.5%
Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes 11.6%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes 11.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Hits + Runs + RBIs
K 46.6K contractsChandler Simpson: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 71.5%
Yandy Díaz: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 69%
Steven Kwan: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 67.5%
+75 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
PM $51.6KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 4.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

United Airlines passengers flown in 2026
K 44.9K contractsWill United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 180 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 178 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 182 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

2nd richest person on December 31?
PM $48.3KWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 58.5%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 36.9%
Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 26.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay
K 44.1K contracts2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 92%
2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (Project Hail Mary)Yes 77%
2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 73.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PM $47.8KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 79%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1 (Longest 2026 Streak)
K 43.4K contractsHow many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 2 weeks)Yes 3%
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 3 weeks)Yes 2.5%
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 7 weeks)Yes 2%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PM $47.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.7%
Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
K 43.3K contractsWill Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 31%
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 25.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $46.6KWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 55.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 26.5%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 9.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Heisman Trophy Finalists
K 43.3K contractsWill Jeremiah Smith be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 87%
Will Trinidad Chambliss be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 56%
Will CJ Carr be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 50.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
PM $45.8KWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
PM $45.2K · K 3.8K contractsWill Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Anthropic release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Maine lobster landings in 2026
K 43.1K contractsWill Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?Yes 97.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers
K 43.0K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 10Yes 79%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 10Yes 73%
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 10Yes 71.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PM $45.0KUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in July 2027
K 42.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in July 2027?Yes 65.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.50 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Modi out by June 30, 2027?
PM $45.0KModi out by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 42.8K contractsWill Olivia Rodrigo have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
PM $44.9KNext OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 32.5%
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC