Search prediction markets

Will Any Court rule that the 2024 USA Federal Election was Fraudulent?Yes 5.3%

Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?

K 49.3K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

K 49.2K contracts

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 63%

Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 61%

Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 56.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 5.3%

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

PM $191.9K

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Arkansas?Yes 98%

Arkansas Attorney General winner?

K 49.0K contracts

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Arkansas?Yes 1.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?Yes 21.5%

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

PM $190.8K

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 17.5%

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 16.3%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 92.5%

Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026

K 48.9K contracts

Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 91.5%

Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 85%

+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes 44%

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?

PM $189.9K

Will Iran hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.1%

KalshiElections

Will Iran hold a presidential election?

K 48.9K contracts

Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes 23.2%

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

PM $188.7K

Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes 13.5%

Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes 4.4%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Arizona Governor winner?

PM $188.4K · K 824.1K contracts

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 92.5%Rules differK Yes 91.1%

Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 91.1%

Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 11%Rules differK Yes 9.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for KY-04?Yes 94.7%

KY-04 House winner?

K 48.6K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for KY-04?Yes 5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026?

K 48.6K contracts

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 84%

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 8.5%

Will Gina Hinojosa be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 1.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETView outcomes

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

PM $187.6K

1 mkt

Will Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 49.5%

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?

K 48.6K contracts

Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 40%

Will Trump make 1 trip to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 7.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes 30.5%

Which bills will become law in 2026?

PM $187.0K

Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Yes 23%

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes 18%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 75%

Toronto mayoral election winner?

K 48.5K contracts

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 27%

Will Chris Alexander win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 1%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%

Another NATO article 4 by...?

PM $186.6K

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 85%

How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

K 48.5K contracts

Will the US fall below 7.50 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 64%

Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 38.5%

+1 moreNext deadline May 17, 2029 UTC

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes 4.5%

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

PM $186.4K

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 94%

Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

K 48.4K contracts

Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 6.5%

Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 5%

+4 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC

EU dissolves before 2027?Yes 1.9%

EU dissolves before 2027?

PM $185.5K

Where will Trump and Putin next meet? (China)Yes 81.5%

Where will Trump and Putin next meet?

K 48.3K contracts

Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur? (Alaska)Yes 7.5%

Where will Trump and Putin next meet? (Germany)Yes 5.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?Yes 93%

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

PM $184.0K

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?Yes 90.5%

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Yes 67%

+6 more

Will Remain receive at least 60% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 96.5%

Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?

K 47.7K contracts

Will Remain receive at least 65% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 86.5%

Will Remain receive at least 70% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 72.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

PM $183.6K

Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 9500000?Yes 95.5%

California Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 47.6K contracts

Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10000000?Yes 92.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10500000?Yes 89%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes 2.9%

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

PM $182.8K

Will Rahm Emanuel be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 31%

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

K 47.5K contracts

Will Ro Khanna be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 12%

+30 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Montana Senate winner?

PM $181.2K · K 907.3K contracts

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 90.1%

Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 10.3%

Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.2%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader in 2026?Yes 4%

Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?

K 47.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 18?Yes 8.1%

What price will Ethereum hit on October 18?

PM $181.2K

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 18?Yes 1.6%

Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 18?Yes 0.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

K 47.3K contracts

Will Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%

Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84.5%

Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 44.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes 2.7%

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

PM $180.3K