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Showing 433-480 of 7,896 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
K 120.8K contractsWill Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?Yes 11.1%
Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?Yes 9%
Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?Yes 4.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PM $478.6KIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
PM $476.4KWill Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 71%
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 3.2%
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 1.4%
+9 more
KalshiSports

Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
K 119.3K contractsWill Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 62.5%
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 30.5%
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 3.5%
+65 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
PM $469.5KJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 119.0K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 57%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

SBF released from custody in 2026?
PM $468.2KSBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
K 118.9K contractsWill the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 99.6%
Will the national debt hit $42.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 96.5%
Will the national debt hit $45 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 85.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
PM $466.5KWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Director
K 118.4K contracts2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Christopher Nolan)Yes 95%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Javier Calvo)Yes 92.5%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Martin McDonagh)Yes 71.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
PM $464.4KWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?Yes 77.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia Senate margin of victory
K 117.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 88%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
PM $460.6KU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Top Album on Spotify U.S in 2026?
K 117.3K contractsWill I’m The Problem be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 73%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will ARIRANG be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
PM $458.2KIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by December 31?Yes 9.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Ohio Governor winner?
PM $457.5K · K 2.66M contractsWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio
Related contracts
PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 70.5%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 30.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?
K 117.0K contractsWill SDP finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 50%
Will HDZ coalition finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 46.5%
Will SNSD finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 9%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

WA-05 House winner?
K 116.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WA-05?Yes 88.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-05?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
PM $451.9KWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Top Fantasy RB
K 115.8K contractsWill Jahmyr Gibbs be the #1 ranked fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 48.5%
Will Kenneth Walker III be the #1 ranked fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 21%
Will Bijan Robinson be the #1 ranked fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 14.5%
+41 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
PM $451.5KAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Closest Governor race in 2026?
K 115.2K contractsWill Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?Yes 18.5%
Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?Yes 13%
Will Nevada have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?Yes 9.8%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
PM $446.7KUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · 3rd Place
K 114.6K contractsWill Amber Glenn finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 23.5%
Will Maura Higgins finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 19.5%
Will Harry Shum Jr. finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
PM $446.5KWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 62.5%
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.4%
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 3.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress
K 113.2K contractsWill Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?Yes 52.5%
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?Yes 30%
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?Yes 11.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PM $445.2KWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 15%
+19 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
K 112.8K contractsWill the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 115 and 119.99 million?Yes 27.5%
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 110 and 114.99 million?Yes 22%
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
PM $437.2KWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes 35.5%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-27 House winner?
K 112.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-27?Yes 67.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-27?Yes 33.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
PM $435.0KWill Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 98.6%
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.7%
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.3%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Roblox hours engaged in Q3
K 112.3K contractsWill Roblox Corporation report Above 32 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Roblox Corporation report Above 33 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
Will Roblox Corporation report Above 34 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 67%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
PM $435.0KWill GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 1.4%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Governor margin of victory
K 111.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
PM $431.0KIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 111.3K contractsWill there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
PM $426.7KWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Senate margin of victory
K 110.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 49%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
PM $426.3KWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 75.5%
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 24.5%
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes <0.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

2028 Republican Presidential ticket
K 109.9K contractsWill JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 27.5%
Will Marco Rubio and JD Vance be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 8.2%
Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 5.3%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
PM $423.6KPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes 30%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Yes 20.5%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes 5.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?
K 109.9K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 98.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Healthcare)Yes 95.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Premier of Quebec
PM $422.7KWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 99.9%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
+4 more
KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
K 109.2K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Anne Hathaway)Yes 89%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Samantha Morton)Yes 77%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Penélope Cruz)Yes 76.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israel military action against Beirut by...?
PM $420.1KIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
K 108.4K contractsWill Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?Yes 65%
Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?Yes 46.5%
Will John Roberts resign during Trump's term?Yes 18%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
PM $419.4KUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC