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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 49-96 of 264 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiScience
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

K 171.2K contracts
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Plague case in US by December 31?

Plague case in US by December 31?

PM $14.4K
Plague case in US by December 31?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

K 158.2K contracts
Above 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 17.5%
Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 12.5%
Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

PM $11.1K
Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 13%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

K 157.1K contracts
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)Yes 8.5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)Yes 7%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketHealth
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?

FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?

PM $4.8K
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Yes 55%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

K 145.4K contracts
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 54.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketScience
Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?

Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?

PM $167.51
Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?Yes 30%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

K 145.3K contracts
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 50.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

K 144.4K contracts
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week

Anthropic market share this week

K 132.1K contracts
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded

NFL Players Traded

K 129.4K contracts
Will Jonah Elliss be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 60%
Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

K 128.6K contracts
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 27.5%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

K 122.9K contracts
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?

K 119.2K contracts
Will Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards

New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards

K 113.4K contracts
Juwan Johnson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 84.5%
Chris Olave: 40+ receiving yardsYes 83.5%
Isaiah Likely: 25+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

K 112.1K contracts
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?

AI capability growth this year?

K 104.8K contracts
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 55%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 33%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

K 96.4K contracts
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

K 95.7K contracts
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 59%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards

Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards

K 94.7K contracts
CeeDee Lamb: 40+ receiving yardsYes 86.5%
Tucker Kraft: 25+ receiving yardsYes 80.5%
Christian Watson: 40+ receiving yardsYes 80.5%
+106 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

K 88.4K contracts
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

K 81.9K contracts
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2000)Yes 96.5%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2500)Yes 84.5%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 4000)Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

K 80.7K contracts
Will Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receptions

New Orleans vs New York G: Receptions

K 80.6K contracts
Malik Nabers: 3+ receptionsYes 90.5%
Juwan Johnson: 2+ receptionsYes 89.5%
Devaughn Vele: 2+ receptionsYes 88.5%
+69 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

K 71.1K contracts
Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%
Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 81%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Reading in 2026?

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

K 69.7K contracts
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (No significant difference)Yes 39%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant increase)Yes 20.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

K 67.4K contracts
Will exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will exactly 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will exactly 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 6%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

K 67.3K contracts
New pandemic by 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

K 65.9K contracts
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

K 65.7K contracts
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Math in 2026?

US test scores in Math in 2026?

K 62.8K contracts
Will US test scores in Math decline? (No significant difference)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 33%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant increase)Yes 21%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

K 61.6K contracts
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?Yes 58.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Basketball Players Traded

Pro Basketball Players Traded

K 61.1K contracts
Will Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 49.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

K 60.5K contracts
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 75%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 17%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?

Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?

K 60.3K contracts
1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 7.5%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

K 57.0K contracts
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 49.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

K 55.5K contracts
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

K 54.6K contracts
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions

Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions

K 54.6K contracts
CeeDee Lamb: 3+ receptionsYes 92.5%
Tucker Kraft: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
George Pickens: 3+ receptionsYes 86.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release

Next Gemini Pro model release

K 54.3K contracts
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

K 53.4K contracts
Will any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

K 50.1K contracts
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18

K 49.5K contracts
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 5.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 180T tokens?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

K 48.3K contracts
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th

K 47.3K contracts
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 75%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

K 42.8K contracts
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

K 42.7K contracts
Above 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC