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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 97-144 of 835 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
K 112.1K contractsWill OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 18?
PM $45.7KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 18?Yes 99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 18?Yes 0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
PM $45.2K · K 3.8K contractsWill Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Anthropic release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
K 111.5K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be between 2.5°C and 2.9°C?Yes 80%
Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be at least 3.0°C?Yes 11.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Aug 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?
K 106.4K contractsWill any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 54.5%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 35%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 18?
PM $44.4KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
3 mkts
KalshiClimate
First Solar module volume sold in Q3
K 104.5K contractsWill First Solar Inc. report Above 3700 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3800 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3900 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on October 18?
PM $44.0KWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 18?Yes 51.4%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 18?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 18?Yes 2.5%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
K 96.4K contractsWill SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PM $41.5KWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?Yes 9.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?Yes 6.2%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
K 95.7K contractsWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
PM $40.9KWill the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?Yes 26.8%
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Yes 26.5%
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Yes 25.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
K 92.5K contractsRain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 66%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 10.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 18?
PM $37.8KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?Yes 93.3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?Yes 7.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 18?Yes 0.4%
+8 more
KalshiWorld
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
K 90.3K contractsWill a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 18?
PM $37.4KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+2 more
KalshiClimate
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
K 85.2K contractsWill there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 2%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
PM $36.2KWill the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Yes 83.5%
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?Yes 10.8%
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?Yes 3.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
K 80.7K contractsWill Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
First snow of the 2026 season
PM $34.3KWill it snow in Denver, CO by November 30?Yes 92.3%
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?Yes 90.5%
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?Yes 87.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?
K 77.2K contractsWill Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Singapore on October 18?
PM $31.7KWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
2 mkts
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026?
K 74.0K contractsSnow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 34.5%
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 24.5%
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 18?
PM $31.6KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18?Yes 0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?
K 71.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be >85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48%
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 18?
PM $28.8KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 18?Yes 58.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 29.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 15.5%
+8 more
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions
K 71.2K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 3+ receptionsYes 92.5%
Tucker Kraft: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
George Pickens: 3+ receptionsYes 86%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?
PM $28.7KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 19?Yes 22.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
K 69.7K contractsWill US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (No significant difference)Yes 39%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant increase)Yes 20.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 18?
PM $28.6KWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?Yes 99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 67.4K contractsWill exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will exactly 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 42%
Will exactly 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 5.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 18?
PM $28.5KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 18?Yes 47.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 18?Yes 7.4%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
K 67.3K contractsNew pandemic by 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 18?
PM $28.4KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 18?Yes 47%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 18?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?Yes 4.7%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
K 65.9K contractsWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketScience
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
PM $28.1KNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
K 65.7K contractsWhen will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
PM $28.1KWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Yes 67%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?Yes 11.7%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.0 – 8.1?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
K 65.4K contractsNortheast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PM $28.0KWill there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes >99.9%
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 97.4%
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 89%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
US meets its climate goals?
K 63.5K contractsWill the US meet its climate goals? (By 2030)Yes 17.9%
Will the US meet its climate goals? (By 2025)Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How strong will Trudy be?
PM $27.8KWill Trudy peak at Category 3?Yes 99%
Will Trudy peak at Category 2?Yes 0.6%
Will Trudy peak at Category 1 or weaker?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Math in 2026?
K 62.8K contractsWill US test scores in Math decline? (No significant difference)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 33%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant increase)Yes 21%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
PM $27.4KWill there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 41.5%
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 38%
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?
K 62.4K contractsWill Omar be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Josephine be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 34%
Will Rene be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 30%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 18?
PM $27.0KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Hanna category?
K 62.1K contractsWill Hanna become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Hanna become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Hanna become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 18?
PM $27.0KWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more