Skip to main content

Browse prediction markets

Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 145-192 of 2,101 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiSports
Oscar Winner: Best Director

Oscar Winner: Best Director

K 229.6K contracts
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the Oscars?Yes 62.5%
Will Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the Oscars?Yes 14.5%
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the Oscars?Yes 10.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

PM $291.5K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 27.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 24.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Foreign Language Film

Critics Choice Awards: Best Foreign Language Film

K 227.6K contracts
Will All of a Sudden win Best Foreign Language Film at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 31.5%
Will La Bola Negra win Best Foreign Language Film at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 27%
Will Fjord win Best Foreign Language Film at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 16%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

PM $278.5K
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 26.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 19.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

PM $278.2K · K 140.2K contracts

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

K 227.3K contracts
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 72%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will have a top 10 song this year?

Who will have a top 10 song this year?

K 207.5K contracts
Will Don Toliver have a top 10 song this year?Yes 99.5%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 10 song this year?Yes 97%
Will Chappell Roan have a top 10 song this year?Yes 94.5%
+105 moreNext deadline Dec 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

PM $275.3K
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026? Yes 54.5%
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Yes 32.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Receptions

Carolina vs Philadelphia: Receptions

K 207.2K contracts
Tommy Tremble: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Dameon Pierce: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Dallas Goedert: 3+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+73 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $273.4K
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 23.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027: Headliner

Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027: Headliner

K 206.9K contracts
Will Vampire Weekend be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will Tyler, The Creator be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will Travis Scott be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

PM $260.0K
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 32.5%
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes 32%
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

K 204.1K contracts
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

PM $258.8K
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 35%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

K 200.4K contracts
Will USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%
Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%
Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

PM $255.1K
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes 4.2%
Will Billie Eilish be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes 0.6%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

K 194.1K contracts
Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 27.5%
Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%
Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

PM $253.4K
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 22.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
PS6 announced this year?

PS6 announced this year?

K 191.2K contracts
PS6 announced by 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?

PM $252.6K
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Yes 92.8%
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Yes 4.2%
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Yes <0.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor

K 190.7K contracts
Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 26.5%
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 20.5%
Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 12%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

PM $241.7K
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 42.5%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 35%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 12.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

K 184.8K contracts
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

PM $237.9K
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026

Top U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026

K 184.4K contracts
Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 48%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 20%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 7.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

PM $237.0K
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 83.5%
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 9.9%
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 0.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026

Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026

K 171.8K contracts
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?Yes 76.5%
Will Erling Haaland be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 53.5%
Will Savannah Guthrie be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 43.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $228.4K
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.9%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

K 171.2K contracts
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
PolymarketCulture
GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

PM $226.1K
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes 97.2%
GTA VI released by October 31?Yes 0.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

K 170.1K contracts
Will Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 56.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

PM $224.1K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes 46.4%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 30%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes 9.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receptions

New Orleans vs New York G: Receptions

K 168.9K contracts
Bryce Lance: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Kendre Miller: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Malik Nabers: 4+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+88 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Top Spotify Song 2026

Top Spotify Song 2026

PM $222.8K
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes 86.6%
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Yes 13%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?Yes 0.4%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

K 167.5K contracts
Will Tesla Inc report above 0 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 83%
Will Tesla Inc report above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will Tesla Inc report above 5000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

PM $220.0K
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 40%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 19.5%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 17.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions

K 166.5K contracts
Ted Hurst III: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Kenny Gainwell: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Emeka Egbuka: 3+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+80 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

PM $215.4K
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026

People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026

K 166.5K contracts
Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (Noah Wyle)Yes 83%
Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (David Corenswet)Yes 7%
Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (Bad Bunny)Yes 4.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

PM $208.8K
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 33.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 20.5%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 9.4%
+54 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Finalists

Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Finalists

K 165.9K contracts
Will Ezra Frech qualify for the DWTS Season 35 finale?Yes 94.5%
Will Amber Glenn qualify for the DWTS Season 35 finale?Yes 85.5%
Will Maura Higgins qualify for the DWTS Season 35 finale?Yes 84.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

PM $207.1K
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 9.4%
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 4.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Receiving Yards

Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Receiving Yards

K 165.0K contracts
Brock Bowers: 40+ receiving yardsYes 85.5%
Khalil Shakir: 15+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
Tre Tucker: 15+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

PM $205.3K
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes 65%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · 2nd Place

Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · 2nd Place

K 163.3K contracts
Will Maura Higgins finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 28.5%
Will Amber Glenn finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 25%
Will Ezra Frech finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

PM $192.3K
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?Yes 94%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?Yes 91.5%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?Yes 91.4%
+17 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026

California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026

K 163.3K contracts
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 680,000?Yes 97.5%
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 690,000?Yes 94.5%
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 700,000?Yes 86.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

PM $186.3K
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 23.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC