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Showing 193-240 of 1,157 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
K 88.4K contractsWill a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $87.4KWill the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 15%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 8%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 3.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Receiving Yards
K 87.3K contractsBrock Bowers: 40+ receiving yardsYes 86.5%
Khalil Shakir: 15+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
Tre Tucker: 15+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?
PM $87.3KSituational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
K 80.7K contractsWill Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $84.6KWill the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes 92.8%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Yes 82.5%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes 64.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receptions
K 80.6K contractsMalik Nabers: 3+ receptionsYes 90.5%
Juwan Johnson: 2+ receptionsYes 89.5%
Devaughn Vele: 2+ receptionsYes 88.5%
+69 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
PM $83.1KWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
PM $82.6K · K 15.9K contractsWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14%Rules differK Yes 22.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
K 80.4K contractsWill the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?Yes 38.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?Yes 14%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?Yes 10.3%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
K 76.8K contractsWill Ghislaine Maxwell be released from custody before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
PM $81.2KWill Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Yes 18.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch
K 76.5K contractsWhat songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Pepas)Yes 47.5%
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Mask Off)Yes 34.5%
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Bad and Boujee)Yes 32.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?
PM $80.7KWill Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 43.5%
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 21%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 6.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions
K 75.8K contractsGermie Bernard: 2+ receptionsYes 89.5%
DK Metcalf: 2+ receptionsYes 89.5%
Jaylen Warren: 2+ receptionsYes 87.5%
+77 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
PM $80.6KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 85%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 5%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 4%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
K 71.1K contractsWill Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%
Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 81%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $78.8KWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 29.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who will perform at Las Vegas Sphere in 2027?
K 70.5K contractsWill Beyoncé perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 57.5%
Will Coldplay perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 32%
Will Spice Girls perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 29%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
PM $78.3KWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 76.9%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 18.3%
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.9%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
K 69.7K contractsWill US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (No significant difference)Yes 39%
Will US test scores in Reading decline? (Significant increase)Yes 20.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PM $78.1KUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 67.4K contractsWill exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will exactly 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will exactly 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 6%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of October?
PM $77.8KWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 79.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 20.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 1.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
K 67.3K contractsNew pandemic by 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PM $76.7KWill Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.1%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
K 65.9K contractsWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
PM $75.9KWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.3%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 39%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.2%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
K 65.7K contractsWhen will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
PM $75.2KWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 59.8%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 31.8%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 2.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026
K 65.3K contractsWill Bernie Sanders go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 57%
Will Hunter Biden go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 31%
Will Tulsi Gabbard go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
PM $75.0KWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Yes 58%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon headcount in Q3
K 65.2K contractsWill Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.54 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.56 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.58 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 94.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
PM $73.9KWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 19.4%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 18.4%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 14.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla total deliveries in 2026
K 64.4K contractsWill Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PM $69.7KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.9%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 17.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 63.1K contractsWill Tate McRae have above 2.3M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Tate McRae have above 2.7M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96%
Will Tate McRae have above 2.1M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of October?
PM $67.4KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 3%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Math in 2026?
K 62.8K contractsWill US test scores in Math decline? (No significant difference)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 33%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant increase)Yes 21%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PM $66.5KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 38%
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 30.4%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
K 61.6K contractsWill a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?Yes 58.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
PM $66.3KSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Yes 66.5%
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Yes 49%
2 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Basketball Players Traded
K 61.1K contractsWill Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 49.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PM $65.6KWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
K 60.5K contractsWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 75%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 17%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PM $65.4KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Time's Person of the Decade
K 60.4K contractsWho will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)Yes 39%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Elon Musk)Yes 29%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Taylor Swift)Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
PM $64.8KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.7%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC